Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
Coming into this week 12 matchup, the North Carolina Tar Heels are favored at -10.5 as they host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill. Kick-off is set for 8:00 ET, and the game can be seen on ACCN. The over/under line is currently at 64.5 points. The Tar Heels have a 5-4 record this season, while the Demon Deacons are 4-5. The money line odds are -434 for North Carolina and +319 for Wake Forest.
WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS VS NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +10.5
This game will be played at Kenan Memorial Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS:
- We have the North Carolina Tar Heels winning this one by a score of 34 to 28
- Even though we like the North Carolina Tar Heels to win, our ATS pick is to take the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at +10.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 64.5 points
Will The Wake Forest Demon Deacons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Wake Forest enters Week 12 with a 4-5 record, facing North Carolina. They are 3-0 on the road but 0-5 at home this season. The Demon Deacons have only a 7.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and are ranked 88th in our CFB power rankings.
Against the spread, Wake Forest is 2-4-2, with a 2-0-1 record on the road and a 0-4-1 mark at home. Their average scoring margin is -4.6 points per game, and they’ve been favored in three of their nine games.
The over/under line for this week is 64.5 points. Wake Forest’s games have averaged an over/under line of 57.4 points, and their over/under record is 4-3-1, with games averaging 60.8 points.
Heading into week 12, Wake Forest’s offense is averaging 28.1 points per game, placing them 50th in the nation. They are ranked 58th in our offensive power rankings. The Demon Deacons have focused on their passing game, ranking 29th in passing attempts per game, with an average of 259.4 yards per game. Their third-down conversion rate is 37.9%, and their passer rating is 84. On the ground, they average 142 rushing yards per game.
Hank Bachmeier leads Wake Forest’s passing attack with 2,232 yards and a 61.5% completion rate. He has thrown 14 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passer rating of 87. Demond Claiborne leads the rushing game with 824 yards and 9 touchdowns, averaging 4 yards per carry. Taylor Morin has 606 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Wake Forest’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 32.7 points per game. In their recent matchup against California, they gave up 46 points and 501 total yards, including 385 passing yards. California completed 40 of 56 passes and rushed for 116 yards on 30 carries.
Opponents have averaged 298.6 passing yards per game against Wake Forest, ranking them 172nd nationally. Quarterbacks have posted a 99.5 passer rating and completed 69.9% of their throws. On the ground, Wake Forest is allowing 150.9 rushing yards per game, facing 32.9 rushing attempts per contest.
Are The North Carolina Tar Heels Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
North Carolina enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, but they have a 97.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 1-3, while their road record stands at 3-1. The Tar Heels have been favored in five of their nine games this season.
North Carolina’s ATS record is 2-5-1, with an 0-4 mark at home and 2-1-1 on the road. They have a +7.6 average scoring margin this season.
The over/under line for this week’s game is 64.5 points, the highest they’ve faced this season. North Carolina’s over/under record is 3-5, with their games averaging 60.4 points and an average line of 54.6 points.
Heading into week 12, North Carolina’s offense is averaging 34 points per game, placing them 24th in the nation. They are ranked 38th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game has been the focal point, with 202 rushing yards per game on 40.1 attempts.
Omarion Hampton leads the ground attack with 1,178 rushing yards, 13 touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Jacolby Criswell has thrown for 1,871 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. He holds a passer rating of 94. J.J. Jones leads the receiving corps with 493 yards and four touchdowns.
North Carolina’s defense had a strong performance in their recent 35-11 win over Florida State, allowing just 11 points. They held the Seminoles to 208 total yards, including 120 rushing yards on 43 attempts and only 88 passing yards, while forcing two interceptions.
On the season, the Tar Heels rank 56th in rushing yards allowed per game (132) and 113th in passing yards allowed (235.2). Opposing quarterbacks have completed 53.7% of their passes against North Carolina, the 14th-lowest completion percentage in the country.