Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24

With the over/under line set at 44.5 points, the Bears and Cardinals will face off at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ. The Bears are the slight favorite with their money line at -108, while the Cardinals are at -112. This week nine NFC matchup is set for 4:05 ET and will be televised on CBS.

CHICAGO BEARS VS ARIZONA CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arizona Cardinals 0

This game will be played at State Farm Stadium at 4:05 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.

WHY BET THE ARIZONA CARDINALS:

  • We have the Cardinals winning this one by a score of 23 to 20
  • Not only do we have the Cardinals winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at 0
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 44.5 points

Will The Bears Pick Up A Win On The Road?

At 4-3, the Bears currently have a 27.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 3.2% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 14th in our NFL power rankings. Chicago is 5-2 against the spread, with a +6.3 scoring margin. They are 3-0 ATS as favorites and 2-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 3-4, with an average of 40.3 points scored in their games compared to a line of 43.4.

Chicago has a 4-0 home record but is 0-3 on the road. In week 8, they lost 18-15 to the Commanders, leaving them 4th in the NFC North. Before that, they had three straight wins, including a 19-point victory over the Jaguars in week 6. They also beat the Panthers and Rams in weeks 5 and 4, respectively.

Heading into week 9, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 16th in the NFL in points per game (23.3) and 26th in yards per game (302.3). Chicago ranks 27th in passing yards per game (184.4) and 19th in rushing yards per game (117.9). They are 24th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 33% success rate, but have been strong in the red zone, converting 52.6% of their opportunities, which ranks 9th in the NFL.

In week 8, the Bears struggled in the first half, failing to score before putting up 7 points in the 3rd quarter and 8 in the 4th. Caleb Williams completed 10 of 24 passes for 131 yards, with no touchdowns or interceptions. D’Andre Swift rushed for 129 yards on 18 carries, while Rome Odunze led the team with 3 catches for 41 yards.

In the Bears’ 18-15 loss to the Commanders, their defense allowed 481 total yards, including 168 rushing yards on just 32 attempts. Despite this, they did hold Washington to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. Chicago’s secondary allowed just 21 completions on 55.3% passing for 313 yards and one touchdown.

Chicago’s defense managed two sacks in the game and had two more tackles for loss than Washington.

Will The Cardinals Win At Home Over The Bears?

With two straight wins, the Cardinals now sit at 4-4, putting them atop the NFC West with a 2-0 division record. After a 17-15 victory over the Chargers in week 7, Arizona edged out the Dolphins 28-27 in week 8, narrowly covering the 4.5-point spread. The O/U line was 46.5, and the teams combined for 55 points.

Our power rankings have the Cardinals 21st heading into week 9, and they have a 38.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 33.2% chance of winning the division. Their average scoring margin is -3.4 points, and they are 5-3 against the spread this season, including 4-2 as underdogs.

Heading into week 9, the Cardinals rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 18th in the NFL in points per game (22.2) and 11th in yards per game (338.5). Arizona has leaned on the run game, ranking 7th in rushing yards per game (141.8) on 27.4 attempts per contest. On 3rd down, they’ve converted 41.7% of their attempts, which ranks 8th in the league.

Kyler Murray is coming off a strong week 8 performance, throwing for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns with a passer rating of 116 against the Dolphins. He connected with Trey McBride 9 times for 124 yards. James Conner rushed for 53 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries.

In their 28-27 win over the Dolphins, the Cardinals’ defense gave up 377 total yards, including 150 yards on just 25 rushing attempts (6.0 yards per attempt). Miami found success on the ground, but Arizona managed to pull out the victory. The Cardinals allowed the Dolphins to convert on 73.3% of their third down attempts and 73.7% of their passes, resulting in 227 yards through the air. Arizona’s defense also forced one sack and had two more quarterback hits than Miami.