Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens Betting Pick & Prediction 11/3/24

The over/under line is set at 45.5 points for the week nine matchup between the Broncos and Ravens. The Ravens are the heavy favorite with a money line of -462, while the Broncos are at +356. The game, which kicks off at 1:00 ET, is being televised on CBS. The Ravens are -9.5 point favorites in this AFC matchup, and both teams need to add to their regular-season records. This one is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore.

DENVER BRONCOS VS BALTIMORE RAVENS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Broncos +9.5

This game will be played at M&T Bank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd.

WHY BET THE DENVER BRONCOS:

• We have the Broncos winning this one by a score of 25 to 14
• Not only do we have the Broncos winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +9.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points

Will The Broncos Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

After a week 6 loss to the Chargers, the Broncos have bounced back with two straight wins, including a 28-14 victory over the Panthers in week 8. Denver was favored by 13 points and covered the spread, bringing their ATS record to 6-2 this season. They are 3-0 as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs. The over has hit in four straight Broncos games, including week 8, when the teams combined for 42 points, surpassing the 40.5-point line.

Denver is 5-3 this season and ranks 27th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 42.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 1.3% chance of winning the AFC West. The Broncos are 3-1 on the road and 2-2 at home, and they are 1-1 in division games and 2-2 in conference games.

Heading into week 9, the Broncos are 27th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 20th in the NFL with 21.6 points per game and are 24th in total yards, averaging 307.2 per game. Denver ranks 12th in passing attempts but is 26th in passing yards, with 185.9 per game. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 14th in rushing yards, averaging 121.4 per game. The Broncos are 25th in the league in 3rd-down conversions, with a 32.4% success rate, but they are 9th in red zone attempts and 19th in red zone conversion percentage.

Bo Nix had a strong performance in week 8, throwing for 284 yards and 3 touchdowns with a passer rating of 124. Courtland Sutton led the team with 8 catches for 100 yards, while Jaleel McLaughlin had 47 rushing yards on 8 carries. Denver scored 21 points in the 2nd quarter and converted 11 of 17 3rd-down attempts in their win over the Panthers.

Denver’s defense came up with two interceptions in their 28-14 win over the Panthers, despite allowing 215 passing yards and two touchdowns. They were tough against the run, giving up just 69 yards on 20 attempts. The Broncos also defended the pass well, allowing a completion rate of 63.2% and holding Carolina to a 5.7 yards per attempt.

On third downs, the Broncos allowed the Panthers to convert just 35.7% of their chances. They also managed two sacks and had more quarterback hits and tackles for loss than Carolina.

Are The Ravens Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 9, the Ravens hold a 5-3 record, putting them 2nd in our power rankings and giving them a 92.3% chance of making the playoffs. They have a +4.1 scoring margin and are 4-3-1 against the spread, including a 4-2-1 record as favorites. Their O/U record is 7-1, with the over hitting in four straight games.

Baltimore’s most recent game was a 29-24 loss to the Browns in week 8, where they failed to cover as 7-point favorites. Before that, they had won four straight, including a 10-point win over the Bucs in week 7. In that game, they covered the 4.5-point spread, with the teams combining for 72 points.

Our offensive power rankings have the Ravens sitting at the top heading into week 9. They lead the NFL in yards per game (452.1) and are 2nd in scoring, averaging 30.2 points per game. Baltimore has leaned heavily on their run game, ranking 3rd in rushing attempts and leading the league with 200 rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, they rank 3rd in the NFL with a 46.5% conversion rate, but they’ve struggled in the red zone, sitting 29th in conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson threw for 289 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 8, finishing with a passer rating of 101. Derrick Henry rushed for 73 yards on 11 carries, while Zay Flowers had 7 catches for 115 yards. Baltimore scored 7 points in the 4th quarter but only converted 2 of 10 3rd-down attempts in the loss to Cleveland.

In their 29-24 loss to the Browns, the Ravens’ defense allowed 27 completions for 321 yards through the air. The Ravens struggled on third downs, allowing the Browns to convert 53.3% of their attempts. Despite giving up 321 passing yards, the Ravens did hold the Browns to 80 yards rushing on 23 attempts.

Baltimore’s defense gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed the Browns to finish with 401 total yards. They managed two sacks and allowed Cleveland to complete 65.9% of their passes. Additionally, the Ravens’ defense allowed the Browns to hold the ball for 32:42 minutes.