Auburn Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
SEC Network will be covering this week nine matchup between the Auburn Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats, set for 7:45 ET at Kroger Field in Lexington. The Wildcats are the -2.5 point favorites at home, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points. Auburn comes in with a 2-5 record, while Kentucky is 3-4 on the season.
AUBURN TIGERS VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Auburn Tigers +2.5
This game will be played at Kroger Field at 7:45 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE AUBURN TIGERS:
- We have the Kentucky Wildcats winning this one by a score of 20 to 18
- Even though we like the Kentucky Wildcats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Auburn Tigers at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Auburn Tigers Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Auburn enters Week 9 against Kentucky with a 2-5 record, ranked 32nd in our power rankings. They have a 14.1% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. On the road, they are 0-2, while their home record stands at 1-3 this season.
The Tigers have been favored in four of their seven games but have gone 1-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +7.3 points, and they are 2-4 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is 42.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced this season. Auburn’s over/under record is 2-4, with their games averaging 49 points and an average line of 51.2 points.
Heading into week 9, Auburn’s offense ranks 54th in scoring, averaging 28.1 points per game, and they are 76th in our offensive power rankings. They are 30th in passing yards, with 264.3 yards per game, and they attempt 29 passes per game, ranking 54th nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is 39%, and they are 63rd in completion percentage.
Payton Thorne has thrown for 1,414 yards this season, with a passer rating of 96. He has 11 touchdowns and six interceptions. Auburn is 67th in rushing, averaging 157.9 yards per game. Jarquez Hunter leads the ground game with 585 yards and averages 6 yards per carry. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 526 receiving yards and six touchdowns.
Auburn’s defense ranks 33rd nationally, allowing 20.9 points per game. They’ve given up 221.7 passing yards per game (93rd) and 120 rushing yards per game, which is 47th fewest in the country.
In their recent game against Missouri, Auburn allowed 21 points. Missouri ran the ball 31 times for just 82 yards, while Auburn’s secondary gave up 272 passing yards on 43 attempts.
Will The Kentucky Wildcats Win At Home Over The Auburn Tigers?
Kentucky enters Week 9 against Auburn with a 3-4 record, ranked 41st in our power rankings. They have a 25.2% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. At home, the Wildcats are 2-3, while they’ve gone 1-1 on the road this season.
Kentucky is 4-3 against the spread, with a +1.1 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in five games, going 2-3 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 2-5, with an average line of 45.3 points. This week’s line is 42.5, and their games have averaged 39.7 points per contest.
Kentucky’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.4 points per game, which ranks 90th nationally. They are 113th in passing yards, with 167.9 yards per game, and their passer rating is 126th in the country. Overall, we have them ranked 77th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.
Quarterback Brock Vandagriff has thrown for 1,116 yards with a passer rating of 81. He has six touchdowns and four interceptions. Kentucky is 27th in rushing attempts, averaging 153.7 yards per game on the ground. Demie Sumo-Karngbaye leads the team with 419 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Dane Key has 500 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Despite ranking 25th nationally by allowing just 19.3 points per game, Kentucky’s defense struggled in their recent matchup against Florida, giving up 48 points. They allowed 197 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, while Florida completed 8 of 15 passes for 279 yards.
On average, Kentucky’s defense has allowed 105.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 24th, and 178.9 passing yards. Opposing quarterbacks have a passer rating of 83.8 and a 64.2% completion rate against Kentucky’s defense.