Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24
Betting on today’s Lightning and Hurricanes game? Catch the action at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC, as the Hurricanes hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Eastern conference contest is set at 6 goals, with the Hurricanes being favored by -1.5 goals at home against the Lightning.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS CAROLINA HURRICANES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Carolina Hurricanes -1.5
This game will be played at Lenovo Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, October 11th.
WHY BET THE CAROLINA HURRICANES:
- With a 1.5-goal advantage on the spread, our projections favor the Hurricanes to secure a 4-3 victory.
- Take the Hurricanes on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Lightning (+1.5)
Will Tampa Bay Win on the Road?
The Lightning finished last season with a 45-29-8 record, placing 6th in the Eastern Conference with a 26-24 mark in those games. In Atlantic Division matchups, they were 12-14, landing 4th. At home, Tampa Bay went 25-11-5, while on the road, they posted a 20-18-3 record.
As favorites, the Lightning were 31-17-3, but their puck line record was 23-28. As underdogs, they went 12-12-5 straight-up and 11-20 against the puck line. Their over/under record was 39-37-6, with their games averaging 6.8 goals.
Last season, the Lightning had one of the NHL’s top offenses, finishing 5th in scoring with 3.5 goals per game. They were especially strong on the power play, leading the league in power play goals.
Interestingly, they ranked 22nd in shots on goal per game, averaging 29.2. They were 9th in shorthanded goals and 15th in giveaways.
Last season, the Lightning allowed 3.1 goals per game, placing them 20th in the NHL. They faced 29.5 shots on goal per game, which also ranked 20th. Despite this, they recorded four shutouts, the 5th most in the league. Tampa Bay was 19th in takeaways but ranked 8th in defensive hits.
Can the Hurricanes Live Up to the Hype at Home?
The Lightning finished last season with a 52-23-7 record, placing 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 35-15 mark in those games. They also ranked 2nd in the Metropolitan Division, going 16-10. At home, Tampa Bay went 27-10-4, while their road record was 25-13-3.
Against the puck line, the Lightning were 35-47, with 17 of their wins coming by one goal and 35 by multiple goals. Their over/under record was 33-47-2, and their games averaged 6 goals per game.
Carolina had a strong offensive season, finishing 8th in the NHL with an average of 3.4 goals per game. They were 6th in assists. The Hurricanes were 3rd in the league for shots on goal, averaging 33.3 per game.
Carolina was effective in shorthanded situations, ranking 3rd in shorthanded goals. They also excelled on the power play, finishing 3rd in the NHL.
Carolina boasted one of the NHL’s top defensive units last season, allowing just 2.4 goals per game, which ranked 3rd in the league. They were also 3rd in shots on goal allowed per game, limiting opponents to 25.5. The Hurricanes recorded 8 shutouts, the most in the NHL.
Despite finishing 32nd in defensive hits, Carolina ranked 11th in takeaways last season.