San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24
At 8:08 PM ET, the Padres and Dodgers will face off in an NL West matchup. This one is taking place at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, and the Dodgers are the betting favorite on the money line at -144. The money line odds for a Padres win are sitting at +123, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
Yu Darvish is starting for the Padres, and he is facing off against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers. Los Angeles comes into the game on a five-game winning streak, and they are 1st in the NL West with a record of 98-64. The Padres are 2nd in the division at 93-69.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -144
This game will be played at Dodger Stadium at 8:08 ET on Friday, October 11th.
HOW TO BET THE PADRES VS DODGERS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Padres to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Los Angeles cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Padres, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster five hits and left eight runners on base.
Ryan Brasier only went 1 1/3 innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. He finished the game with just one strikeout and allowed two walks. Dylan Cease had a rough outing for the Padres, giving up three homers and three earned runs in just 1 2/3 innings of work.
Gavin Lux, Mookie Betts, and Will Smith each homered for the Dodgers. Lux, Betts, and Enrique Hernandez each scored two runs and drove in two runs for Los Angeles’ offense.
Padres Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game on the road against the Dodgers, the Padres will look to extend their postseason run. San Diego finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, including a 48-33 mark on the road and 45-36 at home. As favorites, they went 63-44, while posting a 34-27 record as underdogs.
San Diego’s run line record for the season stands at 86-82, with a 52-31 mark against the run line on the road. As underdogs, they went 42-19 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8.8 total runs, while today’s over/under line sits at 8. The Padres’ over/under record is 86-77 for the year.
Yu Darvish has been pitching well for the Padres and comes into the game with a record of 7-3 and an ERA of 3.31. So far, he has made 16 starts and five of them have been quality starts. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, Darvish has given up a total of two earned runs. The right-hander has been particularly tough on the road, coming in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 2.56.
Over the past seven games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been on fire for the Padres, going 11/26 with four home runs and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .292, and he is now 2nd on the team with 24 homers. Manny Machado has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 29 homers are the best on the team and 15th in the league. He also has 105 RBIs, which is 7th in the MLB.
As a team, the Padres are the top hitting team in the league, with a batting average of .263. They are also among the league leaders in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Overall, they are 8th in the league in runs scored and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road.
Dodgers Records & Stats
With their season on the line, the Dodgers look to secure a win at home against the Padres. Los Angeles finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, including a 52-29 mark at home and 46-35 on the road. As favorites, they went 93-53, while posting a 7-13 record as underdogs.
Los Angeles has a run line record of 84-82, with a +0.8 average run margin at home and +1.1 on the road. At home, their run line record is 41-42. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 93-68, and 70.4% of their games had higher totals than today’s 8-run line.
Through 18 starts, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a record of 7-2 and an ERA of 3.00. He has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, Yamamoto has allowed just seven homers this year. Looking back at his last outing, Yamamoto finished with a no-decision vs. the Padres, giving up five earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 in his previous three outings. The right-hander has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.14 compared to 8.04 at home.
Shohei Ohtani has been a force in the Dodgers lineup this season, as he is batting .310 with a league-leading 130 RBIs and 54 homers, which is also the best mark in the MLB. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a key run producer for the Dodgers, as his 99 RBIs are 13th in the league, and he is batting .272 for the season. Hernandez has been hot of late, batting .379 with three homers over his last seven games.
Overall, the Dodgers offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 2nd in scoring at 5.2 runs per game and have the best OPS and slugging percentage in the league. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the best isolated power figure in the league.