Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

FOX will televise the week six NFC South matchup between the Falcons and Panthers from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. The Panthers are the home team, and the game is set for 4:25 ET. The Falcons are favored on the road, with their money line at -266 and the Panthers at +218. The Falcons are looking to add to their record, and the Panthers are looking to add to theirs, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points.
ATLANTA FALCONS VS CAROLINA PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Carolina Panthers +6
This game will be played at Bank of America Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th.
WHY BET THE CAROLINA PANTHERS:
- We have the Panthers winning this one by a score of 30 to 19
- Not only do we have the Panthers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The Falcons Win As Road Favorites?
With two straight wins, the Falcons now sit atop the NFC South with a 3-2 record. After a week 3 loss to the Chiefs, Atlanta bounced back by beating the Saints in week 4 and the Buccaneers in week 5. Against Tampa Bay, the Falcons won 36-30, covering the 2.5-point spread. The 66 combined points went over the 43.5-point line.
Heading into week 6, our power rankings have the Falcons 17th, and they have a 58.8% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 2-3, with the over hitting in two straight games. Atlanta’s games are averaging 45.2 points, compared to an average line of 44.4.
Heading into week 6, the Falcons are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 16th in the NFL with 22.2 points per game and are 9th in yards per game, averaging 357.4. Atlanta has leaned heavily on the passing game, ranking 5th in attempts and 6th in passing yards per game, with 260.6. However, they rank 27th in rushing attempts and 26th in rushing yards per game. On 3rd down, the Falcons are 23rd in the league, converting 30.8% of their attempts, but they are 9th in red zone conversion percentage.
Kirk Cousins is coming off a huge performance in week 5, throwing for 509 yards and 4 touchdowns against the Buccaneers. Drake London had 12 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown in that game. Before that, London had 6 catches for 64 yards in week 4 and 67 yards in week 3. Atlanta scored 10 points in the 4th quarter and added 6 in overtime in week 5.
In their 36-30 overtime win over the Buccaneers, the Falcons’ defense gave up 160 rushing yards on just 26 attempts, with Tampa Bay averaging 6.2 yards per attempt on the ground. Atlanta’s defense allowed 333 total yards and 173 passing yards, but the Buccaneers completed 79.2% of their passes for three touchdowns.
The Falcons’ defense struggled on third down, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 54.5% of their third-down attempts. Additionally, Atlanta managed just one sack in the game.
Are The Panthers Going Win In At Upset At Bank of America Stadium
The Panthers head into week 6 against the Falcons looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which includes a 36-10 road loss to the Bears in week 5. This dropped Carolina to 1-4, putting them 4th in the NFC South. Our power rankings have them 30th in the NFL, and they have just a 1.4% chance of making the playoffs.
Carolina is 1-4 against the spread this season, with their only ATS win coming in their week 3 victory over the Raiders. The over has hit in three straight Panthers games, including week 5, when the Bears and Panthers combined for 46 points, surpassing the 40-point line.
After a strong week 3 performance, where Andy Dalton threw for 319 yards and 3 touchdowns, the Panthers’ passing game has declined over the last two weeks. Dalton finished with 220 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 4, followed by a 136-yard outing in week 5, with no touchdowns and one interception. Carolina’s offense struggled on 3rd down in week 5, converting only 3 of 12 attempts, and they failed to score in the 2nd half against the Bears.
Chuba Hubbard has been a bright spot for the Panthers, rushing for 97 yards on 13 carries in week 5. He had 104 yards in week 4 and 114 yards in week 3. Carolina ranks 26th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.6 points per game, which is 27th in the NFL.
In their 36-10 loss to the Bears, the Panthers’ defense allowed 296 passing yards on just 20 completions. Chicago’s passing game averaged 10.2 yards per attempt and finished with two passing touchdowns. Carolina struggled to generate pressure, managing only one sack and losing the QB hit differential by a significant margin (-8).
On the ground, the Panthers gave up 128 rushing yards on 39 attempts, with Chicago finishing the game with 424 total yards. Carolina’s defense also allowed the Bears to convert on 36.4% of their third down attempts.