Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

With the Lions favored on the road, they will take on the Cowboys at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX. The Lions’ point spread is -3.5, and their money line odds are -173. The Cowboys, the underdogs, have money line odds of +145. This week six NFC matchup will be televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 52.5 points.
DETROIT LIONS VS DALLAS COWBOYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Lions -3.5
This game will be played at AT&T Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 13th.
WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:
- We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 32 to 24
- Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 52.5 points
Will The Lions Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 6, the Lions are riding a two-game win streak, including a 42-29 victory over the Seahawks in week 4. Detroit was favored by 4.5 points and covered the spread, improving their ATS record to 3-1. They’ve been favored in all of their games so far. Their O/U record stands at 1-3, with their games averaging 46.5 points compared to a 51-point line.
Detroit currently ranks 3rd in our NFL power rankings and has a 74.6% chance of making the playoffs. They have a 30.2% chance of winning the NFC North and are 5th in the conference standings with a 3-1 record. The Lions are 2-1 at home and 1-0 on the road.
Heading into week 6, the Lions rank 4th in our offensive power rankings, scoring 26 points per game, which is 6th in the NFL. They are 3rd in yards per game, averaging 397, with 245.8 passing yards per game (7th) on 31.5 attempts per game. Detroit is 4th in rushing attempts and 6th in rushing yards, averaging 151.2 per game. They rank 6th in 3rd-down conversions, with a 45.8% success rate, and are 21st in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.
Jared Goff has been on fire, going 18/18 for 292 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 4 against the Seahawks. Before that, he threw for 199 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 3 and had 307 yards in week 2. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 7 catches for 75 yards in week 3, and Jameson Williams led the team with 80 receiving yards in week 4.
Despite giving up 133 rushing yards on just 19 attempts, the Lions’ defense came up with three sacks and an interception in their 42-29 win over the Seahawks. Seattle managed 383 passing yards on 38 completions, finishing with 516 total yards. The Lions’ defense forced a 67.9% completion rate and held the Seahawks to a 50% conversion rate on third down.
Are The Cowboys Going Win In At Upset At AT&T Stadium
After two straight road wins, the Cowboys sit at 3-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC East. Following a week 4 win over the Giants, Dallas edged the Steelers 20-17 in week 5, covering the spread as 2.5-point underdogs. The O/U line was 43.5, and the teams combined for 37 points, marking the Cowboys’ second straight under.
Dallas has a -0.8 scoring margin and ranks 14th in our NFL power rankings. They have a 41.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 19.9% chance of winning the division. Against the spread, they are 2-3, with both wins coming as underdogs.
Heading into week 6, the Cowboys are 15th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 23.4 points per game, and 11th in yards per game with 353.6. Dallas has been pass-heavy, ranking 2nd in the league in both passing attempts (38.8) and passing yards (271.6) per game. On the ground, they are 31st in rushing yards per game, with just 82, on 23.2 attempts per game.
In week 5, Dak Prescott threw for 352 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 2 interceptions, against the Steelers. Rico Dowdle led the team in rushing with 87 yards on 20 carries, while Jalen Tolbert had 7 catches for 87 yards and a touchdown. Dallas scored 14 points in the 4th quarter and converted 9 of 15 3rd downs, but only managed 1 touchdown in 4 red zone trips.
The Cowboys’ defense played well on third downs in their 20-17 win over the Steelers, allowing just a 25% conversion rate. They also had three sacks and limited the Steelers to 92 yards rushing on 26 attempts. Dallas gave up just 134 yards passing, and although they allowed two passing touchdowns, they held Pittsburgh to a 57.1% completion percentage.
Overall, the Cowboys allowed just 226 total yards in the game. They were effective in generating pressure, winning the quarterback hit battle, and had one more tackle for loss than the Steelers.