Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

The Eagles are heavily favored at -436 on the money line as they host the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. The Eagles are 2-3 heading into this non-conference matchup, while the Browns are at a +338 money line. FOX is covering this week six game, with the Eagles favored by -8.5 points and the over/under line set at 43.5 points.

CLEVELAND BROWNS VS PHILADELPHIA EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cleveland Browns +8.5

This game will be played at Lincoln Financial Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th.

WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:

• We have the Eagles winning this one by a score of 26 to 22
• Even though we like the Eagles to win, our ATS pick is to take the Browns at +8.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 43.5 points

Will The Browns Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

The Browns head into week 6 against the Eagles looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 34-13 loss to the Commanders in week 5. This dropped Cleveland to 1-4, putting them 29th in our power rankings and giving them just a 4.9% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3rd in the AFC North and 13th in the conference.

Against the spread, the Browns are 1-4, with their only win coming in week 2 vs the Jaguars. They’ve gone 0-3 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-3, with their games averaging 40 points per game.

Heading into week 6, the Browns are 32nd in our offensive power rankings, and they rank 28th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 15.8 points per game. They are 30th in passing yards per game (142.8), despite ranking 6th in passing attempts. Deshaun Watson threw for 125 yards (15/28) and a touchdown in week 5, after passing for 176 yards in week 4 and 196 yards in week 3. He posted a passer rating of 77 in week 5 and was sacked 7 times.

On the ground, Cleveland ranks 27th in rushing yards per game, with 96.6, on 22.2 attempts per game. Jerome Ford led the team with 47 yards on 9 carries in week 5. The Browns have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 18.2% of their attempts, which ranks 29th in the NFL.

In their 34-13 loss to the Washington Commanders, the Browns’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 215 yards on the ground across 34 rushing attempts. Despite this, they did force 3 sacks and one interception. The Browns’ defense also allowed Washington to convert on 47.1% of their third down attempts.

In the passing game, the Browns allowed just 15 completions to Washington for 219 yards. Washington finished with a 53.6% completion percentage against Cleveland and averaged 7.8 yards per pass attempt.

Are The Eagles Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 6, the Eagles sit 7th in our power rankings, despite their 2-2 record. We give them a 53.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 30.1% chance of winning the NFC East. Philadelphia is currently 3rd in the division with a 2-2 conference record. They are 1-1 at home and 1-1 on the road.

After a week 3 win over the Saints, the Eagles couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 34-16 to the Buccaneers in week 4. They were 1-point favorites in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their ATS record to 2-2. They are 1-2 as favorites and 1-0 as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 2-2, with their games averaging 45.5 points compared to an average line of 46.8.

Heading into week 6, the Eagles rank 11th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 21.5, and they have struggled in the first quarter, ranking 24th in the league. Philadelphia is 16th in passing yards per game (211.8) on 33 attempts per game, and they rank 12th in 3rd-down conversions. In the red zone, they rank 5th in attempts, but their conversion rate of 41.2% is 17th in the league.

On the ground, the Eagles are 8th in rushing attempts per game and 5th in rushing yards, averaging 153.8 per game. Saquon Barkley had 84 yards on 10 carries in week 4, following his 147-yard, 2-touchdown performance in week 3. Jalen Hurts threw for 158 yards and 1 touchdown in week 4, with Dallas Goedert catching 7 passes for 62 yards.

In their 33-16 loss to the Buccaneers, the Eagles’ defense allowed 445 total yards. They gave up 334 passing yards on 30 completions, including two passing touchdowns. Philadelphia’s run defense allowed 111 yards on 25 attempts, with Tampa Bay averaging 4.4 yards per attempt on the ground.

The Eagles managed two sacks in the game but struggled on third downs, allowing the Buccaneers to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts. Additionally, Philadelphia had a tough time generating pressure, losing both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.