Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24
The Colts are favored on the road in their week six matchup against the Titans. This AFC South showdown is set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. The Colts’ money line odds are -115, while the Titans’ money line odds are -106. Indianapolis is favored by -1 point, and the over/under line is 42.5 points. You can catch this one on CBS.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS TENNESSEE TITANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Indianapolis Colts -1
This game will be played at Nissan Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 13th.
WHY BET THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:
- We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 20 to 16
- Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Colts Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Heading into week 6, the Colts sit 22nd in our NFL power rankings, and we give them a 41.2% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-3 on the season, which includes an 0-2 record on the road and a 2-1 mark at home. In division play, the Colts are 0-2, but they still rank 2nd in the AFC South.
Against the spread, the Colts are 4-1, including a 3-game winning streak. In week 5, they lost 37-34 to the Jaguars but covered the 3.5-point spread. The combined scoring of 71 points went over the 44.5-point line, marking the second straight Colts game to hit the over.
Our offensive power rankings have the Colts sitting 16th in the NFL, and they are 12th in points per game (23.8) and yards per game (350.4). They are also 11th in 3rd-down conversion rate (41.7%) and rank 4th in red zone attempts, but they have struggled to convert those opportunities, ranking 24th in the league with a 22.2% red zone conversion rate.
Joe Flacco threw for 359 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 5, completing 33 of 44 passes. Alec Pierce led the team with 134 receiving yards, and Trey Sermon had 38 rushing yards on 10 carries. The Colts scored 24 points in the 4th quarter against the Jaguars.
In their 37-34 loss to the Jaguars, the Colts’ defense struggled to get off the field, allowing Jacksonville to convert 82.4% of their passes. The Colts gave up 371 passing yards and allowed the Jaguars to average 10.9 yards per attempt. Indianapolis failed to generate much pressure, as they didn’t record any sacks and had just one interception.
On the ground, the Colts allowed 126 rushing yards on only 23 attempts, giving up 5.5 yards per attempt. They also struggled on third downs, allowing the Jaguars to convert 70% of their third down attempts.
Will The Titans Win At Home Over The Colts?
After three straight losses to start the season, the Titans finally got in the win column with a 31-12 victory over the Dolphins in week 4. Tennessee entered the game as 2.5-point underdogs but came away with a comfortable win, improving their record to 1-3. The combined scoring of 43 points was enough to hit the over, which now has a two-game streak in Titans games.
Heading into week 6, the Titans have a 14.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.1% chance of winning the AFC South. They rank 25th in our NFL power rankings. Against the spread, Tennessee is 1-3, with their only win coming against Miami. Their average scoring margin this season is -2.8 points per game.
Heading into week 6, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 19.8 points per game, and they sit 28th in yards per game with 256.2. Tennessee ranks 27th in passing yards, averaging 145 per game on 28.8 attempts, and they are 18th in rushing yards, with 111.2 per game on 26.2 attempts. The Titans have struggled on third down, converting just 27.7% of their attempts, but they have been strong in the red zone, ranking 4th in the league with an 81.8% conversion rate.
In week 4, Mason Rudolph started at QB, throwing for 85 yards on 9/17 passing. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 88 yards on 22 carries, while DeAndre Hopkins had 31 receiving yards on 2 catches. Tennessee finished with 142 rushing yards on 40 attempts and converted 2 of 12 third downs in their win over Miami.
The Titans’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, allowing just 78 yards passing in a 31-12 win over the Dolphins. Miami managed just 14 completions and 184 total yards, with Tennessee holding them to a 16.7% conversion rate on third down. The Titans also limited the Dolphins to 106 yards rushing on 30 attempts.
In the passing game, Tennessee gave up no touchdowns and held Miami to a 63.6% completion rate. The Titans recorded two sacks and had a +2 advantage in quarterback hits, despite losing the tackles for loss battle by -1.