Kansas State Wildcats vs Colorado Buffaloes Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24
ESPN will be covering this week seven matchup between the Kansas State Wildcats and Colorado Buffaloes, set for 10:15 ET at Folsom Field in Boulder. Both teams enter the game with a 4-1 record, and the Wildcats are favored by -4 points on the road. The over/under line is currently at 56.5 points.
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS VS COLORADO BUFFALOES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Buffaloes +4
This game will be played at Folsom Field at 10:15 ET on Saturday, October 12th.
WHY BET THE COLORADO BUFFALOES:
- We have the Kansas State Wildcats winning this one by a score of 26 to 25
- Even though we like the Kansas State Wildcats to win, our ATS pick is to take the Colorado Buffaloes at +4
- We see this game finishing below the line of 56.5 points
Will The Kansas State Wildcats Win As Road Favorites?
Kansas State enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, ranked 21st in our power rankings. They have a 98.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 10.7% chance of winning the Big 12. The Wildcats also have a 16.2% chance of making the College Football Playoff, which ranks 20th in the nation.
So far, Kansas State is 2-0 at home and 1-1 on the road. They’ve been favored in all five games, going 3-1 as the favorite, with an average scoring margin of +11.8 points per game. Against the spread, they are 2-2, covering both home games but failing to cover on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 56.5 points. Kansas State’s games have averaged 51 points, with an average line of 53.9 points. Their over/under record is 2-2, with two games featuring higher lines and two with lower lines than this week’s total.
Kansas State’s offense is averaging 31.4 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 39th in the nation. They rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is their strength, averaging 252.8 rushing yards per game, ranking 14th nationally.
DJ Giddens leads the rushing attack with 604 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry, though he has only two touchdowns. Quarterback Avery Johnson has thrown for 879 yards and nine touchdowns but has four interceptions. Kansas State ranks 106th in passing yards per game.
Kansas State’s defense has allowed an average of 19.6 points per game this season, ranking 26th nationally. In their recent game against Oklahoma State, they gave up just 20 points and forced two interceptions. The Wildcats allowed only 11 first downs and 229 total yards, including 38 rushing yards on 20 attempts.
Opponents have averaged 109.2 rushing yards per game against Kansas State, while the Wildcats have faced 244.2 passing yards per game, ranking 117th nationally. Quarterbacks have completed 61.9% of their passes and have a passer rating of 89.7 against Kansas State’s defense.
Are The Colorado Buffaloes Going Win In At Upset At Folsom Field
At 4-1 this season, Colorado is ranked 30th in our CFB power rankings. They have a 95.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 14.5% shot at winning the Big 12. So far, they are 2-1 on the road and will play their first home game of the season against Kansas State in Week 7.
Colorado has been favored in only one game this season, with an average scoring margin of +8 points per game. Their ATS record stands at 2-1, and they are 1-0 as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog against the spread.
The Buffaloes’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 54 points. This week’s line is set at 56.5 points, slightly below their average over/under line of 56.9 points for the season.
Colorado’s offense has been driven by their passing game, ranking 14th in passing attempts and 8th in completions. They are 15th in passing yards, averaging 326 yards per game, and 41st in scoring, with 31 points per game. Heading into week 7, they are 39th in our offensive power rankings.
Shedeur Sanders has thrown for 1,630 yards with a passer rating of 112. He has completed 70.1% of his passes, with 14 touchdowns and three interceptions. Travis Hunter leads the receiving corps with 561 yards and six touchdowns on 46 catches. Colorado’s run game has struggled, averaging 80.8 yards per game.
Colorado’s defense enters this week ranked 38th nationally, allowing 23 points per game on average. In their recent game against UCF, they gave up 21 points but managed to secure an interception. The Buffaloes allowed 273 total yards, including 108 rushing yards on 40 attempts and 165 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 156.4 rushing yards per game against Colorado, while quarterbacks have posted a 93.9 passer rating, completing 65.2% of their throws for an average of 223.6 passing yards per game.