Air Force Falcons vs New Mexico Lobos Betting Pick & Prediction 10/12/24

At 7:00 ET, truTV will be covering the week seven matchup between the Air Force Falcons and the New Mexico Lobos. The game will be played at University Stadium in Albuquerque. Both teams come in with a 1-4 record for the season. The over/under line is currently set at 54.5 points, and the Lobos are -6.5 point favorites at home.

AIR FORCE FALCONS VS NEW MEXICO LOBOS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Air Force Falcons +6.5

This game will be played at University Stadium at 7:00 ET on Saturday, October 12th.

WHY BET THE AIR FORCE FALCONS:

• We have the Air Force Falcons winning this one by a score of 29 to 21
• Not only do we have the Air Force Falcons winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +6.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 54.5 points

Will The Air Force Falcons Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Air Force enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record and ranks 121st in our power rankings. They have just a 1.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season.

The Falcons have been favored in two of their five games but have gone 0-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is -12.4 points per game, and they are 0-4 against the spread this season.

This week’s over/under line is 54.5 points, significantly higher than their average line of 39 points. Air Force’s over/under record is 2-2, with their games averaging 35.2 points.

Air Force’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 11.4 points per game, which ranks 98th nationally. They are also 133rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 7. Their passing game has been particularly weak, with only 76 yards per game, placing them 129th in the country. Their quarterback, John Busha, has thrown for 240 yards and has a passer rating of 26, with no touchdowns and three interceptions.

Air Force ranks 4th in rushing attempts, averaging 49.8 carries per game, but they are only 63rd in rushing yards, with 174.6 per game. Owen Allen leads the team with 101 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry. Cade Harris has 124 receiving yards on nine catches.

Air Force’s defense struggled in their recent game against Navy, allowing 34 points in a 34-7 loss. They gave up 329 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns, while also allowing 134 passing yards, totaling 463 yards allowed.

On the season, Air Force is ranked 41st in points allowed, giving up 23.8 points per game. They are 45th in passing yards allowed, surrendering 187 yards per game, and 130th in rushing yards allowed, giving up 183.6 yards per game.

Are The New Mexico Lobos Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

New Mexico enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, facing Air Force at home. They are ranked 117th in our CFB power rankings, with just a 14.7% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Lobos are 0-1 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.

New Mexico’s ATS record stands at 2-2, with a road ATS mark of 2-1 and a home record of 0-1. They’ve been favored in one game this season, going 1-0 against the spread as the favorite.

Their over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 58.4 points. New Mexico’s games have averaged 75.8 points, and this week’s line is set at 54.5 points.

New Mexico’s offense is averaging 32 points per game heading into week 7, placing them 35th in the nation. They are ranked 34th in our offensive power rankings. The Lobos have been a pass-heavy team, with 38.6 attempts per game, ranking 18th nationally. They are 28th in completions, averaging 22 per game, and are 51st in passing yards, with 261.8 yards per game.

Devon Dampier leads the team with 1,309 passing yards, but he has thrown six touchdowns and six interceptions, resulting in a passer rating of 75. New Mexico ranks 111th nationally in passer rating. On the ground, they are averaging 200.2 rushing yards per game. Eli Sanders has 231 rushing yards this season.

New Mexico’s defense has struggled this season, allowing 43.8 points per game. In their recent game against New Mexico State, they gave up 40 points and 474 total yards, including 285 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns.

Opponents are averaging 243.2 rushing yards per game against New Mexico, while quarterbacks have posted a 113.7 passer rating and 260.6 passing yards per game.