Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/7/24
From Progressive Field in Cleveland, we have the Tigers and Guardians facing off in an AL Central matchup. Monday’s game is getting started at 4:08 PM ET, and the forecast calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the upper 50s. Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers, and they are the slight money line favorite (-129). The Guardians are starting Matthew Boyd and they are +110 on the money line. Cleveland comes into the game on a two-game losing streak and is 92-69 overall, while the Tigers are 86-76 and have lost two straight as well.
The over/under line for Monday’s game is currently at 6 runs, and the under is paying out at -108 compared to -111 for the over. Detroit is 3rd in the AL Central, while the Guardians are leading the division.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +110
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 4:08 ET on Monday, October 7th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 4 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the over
Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Tigers, they had their best chance to score in the 6th, but could only muster two runs and left the bases loaded.
Tanner Bibee only went 4 2/3 innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run and finished with six strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Holton had a rough outing for the Tigers, giving up four runs in no outs of work.
Lane Thomas hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. David Fry also had a two-hit game and drove in two for Cleveland’s offense.
Tigers Records & Stats
As the Tigers prepare for game two of their series against Cleveland, they find themselves needing a win to avoid falling behind 0-2. Detroit is on the road, where they went 43-38 during the regular season, matching their home record. They’ve dropped their last two games and have also lost two in a row as the favorite. The Tigers finished the regular season with an 86-76 record.
Detroit’s run line record stands at 88-77, with a +0.4 scoring margin on the road and an even margin at home. They’ve lost two straight against the run line as favorites. On the road, their run line record is 53-31. The Tigers’ over/under record is 78-81, and today’s line of six runs is well below their season average of 8.1.
Tarik Skubal has been outstanding this season for the Tigers, coming into the game with a record of 18-4 and an ERA of 2.39. He has made 31 starts and has a WHIP of .92. Skubal has been especially tough at home, going 10-1 with a 2.02 ERA. On the road, his record is 9-3 with a 2.90 ERA. Skubal has made 22 quality starts this season and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four hits and one walk. Skubal has won each of his last three starts.
Over the Tigers’ last eight games, Parker Meadows has been swinging a hot bat, going 11/31 with two homers and six runs scored. This has helped him put together a four-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. Kerry Carpenter comes into the game with the team’s best batting average (.284) and is 2nd on the team with 18 homers. Riley Greene has been the team’s top power threat, with 24 homers and comes into the game batting .262.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 15th in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .300 is 21st in the league. Overall, they are just 19th in home runs and have a collective slugging percentage of .385.
Guardians Records & Stats
Leading the series 1-0 against Detroit, Cleveland looks to take a commanding lead in game two of this best-of-five matchup. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 65-36 mark, while going 28-33 as underdogs.
During the regular season, Cleveland went 83-79 against the run line, with a +0.8 average run margin at home and +0.4 on the road. They finished 40-41 versus the run line at home. The Guardians’ over/under record was 68-82, and today’s O/U line of 6 runs is their lowest of the season, compared to their average line of 8 runs.
Through eight starts, Matthew Boyd has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 2.72. Looking at his overall numbers, Boyd has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Boyd’s ERA for the season is 2.86 at home, compared to 3.28 on the road. Opponents are batting .204 off Boyd this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.44 strikeouts and 2.95 walks.
Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 13/29 in his last eight games with four homers and 12 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with 39 homers and 118 RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a significant power threat in the lineup, as he is 13th in the league with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.
Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting a combined .238. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, they are one of the best in the league at not striking out and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.