New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/3/24
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Thursday vs. the Brewers, who are starting Tobias Myers. The game is set to get started at 7:08 PM ET from American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. ESPN will be televising this NL matchup.
The Mets are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 89-73, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 93-69. Milwaukee is favored on the money line, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -121
This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:08 ET on Thursday, October 3rd.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS BREWERS:
- We have the Brewers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Despite being the slight underdogs on the road, the Mets put up a good fight in the last game of this series against the Brewers. New York had a chance to win late, but the Brewers pulled out a 5-3 victory.
Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mets got on the board with one run in the 5th and added their final two runs in the 8th.
Frankie Montas only went 3 2/3 innings for the Brewers but gave up just one run and one hit. Joe Ross got the win out of the bullpen, and Devin Williams got the save. Phil Maton took the loss for New York out of the bullpen.
Mets Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game three in their Wild Card series against Milwaukee, the Mets are on the road, where they posted a 43-38 record during the regular season. New York went 46-35 at home this year and finished the season 89-73 overall. As road underdogs, they went 23-23 this season.
New York’s run line record for the year is 83-81, including 45-38 on the road. As underdogs, their run line record is 38-28. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs this season, while today’s over/under is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 83-76, and the over has hit in their last two games.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Brewers. Quintana’s most recent outing came on September 28th, where he took the loss on the road. In that start, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs on five hits. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Quintana’s ERA for the season is 3.75, along with a record of 10-10. Opponents are batting .233 this season vs. Quintana. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.13 strikeouts and 3.33 walks.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Lindor’s 33 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Alonso’s 34 homers leading the team and putting him 10th in the league. Lindor comes into the game with a team-high 91 RBIs and a batting average of .273. However, he has gone just 4/19 in his last five games. Alonso is batting just .240 for the season.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league at 4.7 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in the league in home runs and have the 8th best team batting average in the MLB.
Brewers Records & Stats
With the Brewers and Mets tied 1-1 in their NL Wild Card series, Milwaukee faces a must-win game three at home. The Brewers finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, going 47-34 at home and 46-35 on the road. As home favorites, they posted a 36-22 mark this year.
Milwaukee’s games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, while today’s over/under line sits at 7.5 runs. Their run line record is 83-81, and they’ve gone 38-45 against the run line at home.
Milwaukee is starting right-hander Tobias Myers today vs. the Mets. Myers has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.00 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Myers came out of the bullpen and got the win, going four innings and not giving up a run. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Myers has a WHIP of 1.17 this season and opponents are batting .235 off him. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.28 strikeouts and 2.35 walks.
Overall, the Brewers offense is 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks. Milwaukee’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 21st in the league in strikeouts.
William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers top power threats this season, with Adames’ 32 homers leading the team and being 12th in the league. Adames also has the 4th most RBIs in the league, with 112. Rhys Hoskins has 26 homers but is batting just .214 for the season. Brice Turang and Jackson Chourio have been swinging hot bats of late, with Turang hitting .562 over his last four games and Chourio batting .381 over his last five.