Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Betting Pick & Prediction 10/2/24
Joe Musgrove and the Padres will host the Braves tonight at 8:38 PM ET at PETCO Park in San Diego, and they are the slight favorite on the money line (-123). The Braves are 3rd in the NL East with a record of 89-73.
Max Fried will be on the mound for the Braves, and he will be looking to help his team pull off the road upset. Wednesday night’s over/under line is currently at 6.5 runs, and the game will be televised on ESPN2.
SAN DIEGO PADRES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Diego Padres Moneyline -123
This game will be played at PETCO Park at 8:38 ET on Wednesday, October 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PADRES:
- We have the Padres winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the over
Thanks to a two-home run performance from Fernando Tatis Jr., the Padres cruised to a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -196 on the money line.
Tatis Jr. got the scoring started for the Padres with a two-run homer in the first inning. Kyle Higashioka also went deep for San Diego, and Michael King pitched seven scoreless innings, striking out 12, to pick up the win.
On the other side, AJ Smith-Shawver only went 1 1/3 innings for the Braves, giving up three runs on four hits. He took the loss in the game.
Braves Records & Stats
Facing a must-win situation, the Braves are on the road for game two of their series against the Padres, who lead 1-0. Atlanta finished the regular season with a 43-38 road record, compared to 46-35 at home. As underdogs on the road, they went 11-15 this year.
Atlanta’s run line record stands at 77-86, with a 43-39 mark on the road. They’ve dropped three straight against the run line as favorites. The under has hit in two consecutive games, and their overall over/under record is 59-98. Today’s 6.5-run line is the lowest for a Braves game this season, with their average over/under line at 8.1 runs.
Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he came one out away from a shutout. Against the Royals on September 27th, he picked up the win, going 8 2/3 innings and not allowing a run. Fried finished the game with nine strikeouts, three hits, and two walks. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has made 29 starts, and his record for the season is 11-10. The left-hander has an ERA of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.16. In total, he has allowed 13 home runs and is averaging 8.57 strikeouts per nine innings.
Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been the Braves’ top power threats this season, as Ozuna is 5th in the league with 39 homers, and Olson is 15th with 29 long balls. Ozuna is also 8th in the league with 104 RBIs, while Olson is 14th at 98 RBIs. Ozuna comes into the game with a batting average of .302, while Olson is hitting .247.
Over his last seven games, Marcell Ozuna has gone just 3/25 at the plate, and Gio Urshela is also struggling, with a batting average of .208 in his last seven games. However, Michael Harris II has gone 9/27 in his last seven games, and Ozzie Albies has six hits in his last 27 at-bats.
Padres Records & Stats
Leading 1-0 in their best-of-three series against the Braves, the Padres are at home for game two, looking to secure the series win. San Diego finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, going 45-36 at home and 48-33 on the road. As home favorites, they posted a 39-28 mark this year and have won five straight at home.
San Diego’s run line record stands at 85-78, with a 34-48 mark at home. They’ve covered the run line in their last three home games. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.8 runs this season, while today’s over/under line is 6.5 runs. Their over/under record is 82-77.
Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.88. So far this year, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .246 off the right-hander. Musgrove has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.12 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Musgrove finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without taking a loss. One of those outings was a no-hitter.
San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are the top-hitting team in the league and are also 8th in runs scored (4.7 runs per game). The Padres are also near the top of the league in team slugging percentage and OPS. One of the things that has helped their offense is that they are the hardest team in the league to strike out.
Over his last eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has three homers, but he is just 7/31 in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .265 with a team-high 31 homers. Manny Machado is right behind him with 29 homers and has a team-high 105 RBIs. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard.