New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/2/24

At 7:38 PM ET, the Mets and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is taking place at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-109). The Mets have an overall record of 89-73, while the Brewers are 93-69.

Wednesday’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the game can be seen on ESPN. Sean Manaea is starting for the Mets, and the Brewers are going with Frankie Montas. In the NL East, the Mets are in 2nd place, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central.

NEW YORK METS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -110

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:38 ET on Wednesday, October 2nd.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 4 to 3
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under

It was all New York Mets in the last game of this series, as they took down the Brewers by a score of 8-4. The Mets offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out eight times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +125 on the money line.

Milwaukee got off to a fast start in this one, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 4th. On the other side, the Mets didn’t get on the board until the 2nd and broke the game open with a five-run 5th. As for the Brewers, they could only muster two more runs in the 7th.

Luis Severino only went six innings for the Mets but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued two walks. Joel Payamps had a rough outing for Milwaukee, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Mets Records & Stats

As the Mets prepare for game two against the Brewers, they hold a 1-0 series lead and are looking to close things out on the road. New York finished the regular season with a 43-38 road record, compared to 46-35 at home. As favorites, they went 59-39 this year, while posting a 31-34 mark as underdogs.

New York’s run line record for the season stands at 83-80, with a run-scoring margin of +0.5 per game. On the road, they went 45-37 against the run line. The Mets’ over/under record is 82-76, and 67.3% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.

New York is sending left-hander Sean Manaea to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He comes into the game with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.47. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 32 starts, he has turned in 15 quality starts and is averaging 9.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s last outing came on September 27th, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.26 compared to 3.69 on the road.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been a big part of the Mets’ offense this season, as they are the team’s top two home run hitters and are also near the top of the league in RBIs. Lindor is batting .273 for the season and has gone 6/21 in his last five games, including two homers. Alonso has also gone deep twice in his last eight games, but he is batting just .240 for the season. Jose Iglesias has been hot of late, going 11/33 in his last eight games.

Overall, the Mets are 7th in the league in runs scored at 4.7 runs per game. They have been a good home run hitting team this season and have the 8th best team batting average in the league. As a team, the Mets are 8th in on-base percentage and have been good at drawing walks this season.

Brewers Records & Stats

Facing a must-win game two, Milwaukee looks to even their series against the Mets, who lead 1-0. The Brewers finished the regular season 93-69, going 47-34 at home and 46-35 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 54-39 record, while going 39-31 as underdogs. Milwaukee has lost two straight at home.

Milwaukee’s run line record is 82-81, with a 37-45 mark at home. They’ve dropped their last two home games against the run line. As favorites, their run line record is 36-57, while they’re 46-24 as underdogs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs, and their over/under record is 82-71. Today’s 7.5-run line is lower than 72.2% of their games this season.

Right-hander Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Mets at home. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.84. Montas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.37. In his last outing, Montas finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Montas has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 8.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power hitters this season, with Contreras hitting 23 homers and Adames leading the team with 32 home runs. Adames’ 112 RBIs is also the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. Rhys Hoskins has struggled with his batting average this season, hitting just .214, but he is 2nd on the team with 26 homers.

Over his last four games, Brice Turang has gone 8/18 with five runs scored. This has helped him put together a four-game hitting streak. Gary Sanchez has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 4/10 with a home run in his last four games.