Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 10/2/24
The forecast for Wednesday’s matchup between the Royals and Orioles calls for overcast skies and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s. This one is getting started at 4:38 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line at -158. The money line odds for the Royals are sitting at +134, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Kansas City will be starting Seth Lugo, while the Orioles have Zach Eflin on the mound. The Royals are 86-76 and are 2nd in the AL Central, while the Orioles are 91-71 and have won three straight. ESPN is carrying this game on TV.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +134
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 4:38 ET on Wednesday, October 2nd.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 4 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Thanks to a good outing from Cole Ragans, the Royals were able to pick up a 1-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +124 on the money line.
Ragans went six innings and struck out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Lucas Erceg got the save. Corbin Burnes had a good outing for the Orioles in the loss, going eight innings and giving up just one run.
Kansas City’s only run came in the 6th inning, as they were able to scratch across the game’s only run. As for the Orioles, they wasted a good outing from Burnes, as he gave up just one run in eight innings of work.
Royals Records & Stats
As the Royals prepare for game two of their series against Baltimore, they hold a 1-0 lead and will look to close things out on the road. Kansas City finished the regular season with an 86-76 record, going 45-36 at home and 41-40 on the road. They’ve won two straight as road underdogs.
On the run line, the Royals are 90-73 overall, including 47-35 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three consecutive road games. The under has hit in four straight Royals games, and their over/under record is 69-89. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.5 runs.
The Royals are sending right-hander Seth Lugo to the mound today vs. the Orioles. Lugo has made 33 starts this year and has a record of 16-9 with an ERA of 3.00. This season, he has one complete game and 22 quality starts. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is 1.09, and opponents are batting .226 off him this year. In his last outing, Lugo finished with a no-decision, going two innings and not giving up a run vs. the Braves. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the MLB, and are also one of the best home run hitting teams in the league. Kansas City has two of the league’s top home run hitters in Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez.
Witt Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 32 homers and is batting .332 overall, while Perez is batting .271 with 27 homers. Witt Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last six games, Hunter Renfroe has gone just 3/18 with two homers.
Orioles Records & Stats
Facing a must-win situation, the Orioles look to even their series against the Royals, who lead 1-0 heading into game three. Baltimore finished the regular season with a 91-71 record, going 44-37 at home and 47-34 on the road. They’ve dropped three straight at home and as the favorite.
Baltimore’s run line record is 87-76, and they’ve also lost three consecutive games against the run line at home. At home, their average run margin is +0.3, compared to +0.8 on the road. The Orioles’ over/under record is 87-64, with today’s line of 7.5 runs below their season average of 8.
Zach Eflin will be looking to bounce back from a short outing vs. the Yankees, as he gets the start for the Orioles today. Against the Yankees, he went just 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, four hits, and one homer. Eflin finished with a no-decision in the outing. Looking back further, he has made three straight starts and finished with a no-decision in each of them. Eflin’s ERA for the season is 3.59, along with a record of 10-9. For the year, he has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .252 vs. Eflin this year.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in home runs and have the 4th best scoring offense in the league at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .250 as a team, which is 6th in the MLB.
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles’ top two power threats this season, with Henderson going deep 37 times and Santander at 44 home runs. Henderson is also batting .281, and Santander’s batting average is .235. Over his last five games, Emmanuel Rivera has gone 5/9 with two homers and five RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn has also gone deep twice in his last five games while batting .385.