Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24

The Commanders are favored at -177 on the money line as they host the Browns at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Browns are +148 on the money line and +3.5 on the point spread. This non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 44.5 points.
CLEVELAND BROWNS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Browns +3.5
This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:
- We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 26 to 20
- Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 44.5 points
Will The Browns Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Despite leading 10-0 after the 1st quarter, the Browns ended up losing to the Raiders by a score of 20-16. Cleveland’s record now stands at 1-3 for the season. The Browns finished the game with a 4th quarter surge, scoring two touchdowns to tie the game at 20. However, the Raiders were able to take the lead for good with 2:24 left in the 4th quarter, and the Browns were unable to respond.
Heading into the game, the Browns were favored by -2.5, and the over/under line was set at 37. With a 20-16 final score, the combined scoring fell just short of the over/under line. Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson connected with Elijah Moore and Blake Whiteheart for touchdowns in the 1st quarter to give the Browns an early lead.
The Browns’ running game was limited to 92 yards on 22 attempts in their 20-16 loss to the Raiders. Deshaun Watson threw for 176 yards, completing 75% of his passes, but he was also sacked three times and finished with one touchdown and one interception. Cleveland’s offense managed only 16 first downs and 149 yards passing.
Jerome Ford led the team with 58 rushing yards, averaging 5.8 yards per attempt, while also catching seven passes for 27 yards. Jerry Jeudy was the leading receiver with 72 yards on six receptions.
Cleveland’s defense played well against the pass in their 20-16 loss to the Raiders, giving up just 116 yards through the air on 4.8 yards per attempt. They also held the Raiders to a 58.3% completion percentage and limited them to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down.
However, the Browns did struggle to stop the run, allowing 152 yards on the ground on just 29 attempts, including a few big runs that averaged 5.2 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Browns’ defense kept them in the game by allowing only 268 total yards.
Are The Commanders Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Washington improved to 3-1 with a 42-14 blowout victory over the Cardinals. They were not only the straight-up winner but also covered the spread as 3.5-point underdogs on the road. The 28-point win was a big one for Washington, as they were not only on the road but also playing against an Arizona team that was undefeated at the time.
After falling behind 7-0 early, Washington tied it up in the first quarter with a Brian Robinson Jr. touchdown. From there, they dominated the game, taking a 17-7 lead at halftime and really pulling away in the 4th quarter, scoring 15 points to put a stamp on their 28-point win.
Quarterback Jayden Daniels completed 26 of 30 passes for 233 yards in Washington’s 42-14 win over the Cardinals. The offense put up 29 first downs and 216 rushing yards on 37 attempts. Daniels threw one touchdown, while also rushing for 47 yards and a touchdown.
Brian Robinson Jr. led the ground attack with 101 yards on 21 carries, including a touchdown and a long run of 18 yards. Olamide Zaccheaus was the top receiver with 85 yards on six catches. Washington had an 86.7% completion rate, went 9-of-12 on third down, and didn’t allow a sack in the game.
In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense allowed just 115 passing yards on 16 completions to the Arizona Cardinals. Despite giving up 181 rushing yards on 32 attempts, Washington came out on top with a 42-14 victory. The Commanders’ defense also recorded four sacks and held Arizona to a 36.4% conversion rate on third downs.
Washington’s defense limited the Cardinals to just one touchdown through the air while allowing them to complete 72.7% of their passes. Even though they struggled to stop the run, the Commanders’ defense was effective in generating pressure and disrupting the passing game.