Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24

FOX will be covering this week five AFC East matchup between the Dolphins and Patriots. The Patriots are the slight favorite with a point spread of -1. The game, being played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, will kick off at 1:00 ET. The Patriots are the money line favorite at -112, and the over/under line is set at 35.5 points.

MIAMI DOLPHINS VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New England Patriots -1

This game will be played at Gillette Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th.

WHY BET THE NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS:

• We have the Patriots winning this one by a score of 22 to 16
• Not only do we have the Patriots winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
• Look for this game to go over the line of 35.5 points

Will The Dolphins Pick Up A Win On The Road?

The Dolphins were 2.5-point favorites heading into their most recent game against the Titans, but they ended up losing 31-12 at home, dropping their season record to 1-3. Miami’s 12 points came on four field goals, with Jason Sanders converting from 44 and 56 yards in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, respectively, and two touchdowns late in the 4th quarter. The Titans, however, had already taken a commanding lead, with Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears finding the endzone in the 3rd quarter, and Nick Folk adding a field goal in the 4th.

Miami’s late touchdowns came from Tyler Huntley’s 1-yard rush and a final play where the Dolphins missed a pass attempt. The Titans led 12-3 at halftime, and Miami didn’t find the endzone until the 4th quarter. This was a game where the Dolphins were favored by -2.5 points, but the Titans’ 19-point margin of victory was a surprise to many.

Struggling on third down, the Dolphins converted just 16.7% of their chances in their 31-12 loss to the Titans. Miami managed only 13 first downs and 78 yards passing, with Tyler Huntley as their leading passer with 96 yards. Huntley completed 14 of 22 passes and was sacked twice.

Offensively, Miami couldn’t get much going, finishing with 106 rushing yards. Huntley, who also led the team in rushing with 40 yards and a touchdown, was under pressure throughout the game. Jaylen Waddle was the leading receiver with 36 yards.

In their 31-12 loss to the Titans, the Dolphins’ defense held the Titans to just 102 passing yards. However, they struggled against the run, allowing 142 yards on 40 attempts. Miami’s defense was tough to move the ball on through the air, giving up just 12 completions and 4.9 yards per attempt. They also allowed the Titans to convert only 16.7% of their third down chances.

The Dolphins’ defense also came up with one interception and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns. Despite their struggles against the run, they held the Titans to just 244 total yards. Miami’s defense also managed one sack in the game.

Will The Patriots Win At Home Over The Dolphins?

The Patriots are now 1-3 after a 30-13 loss to the 49ers. New England fell behind early, with the 49ers leading 6-0 after the first quarter. The Patriots managed a field goal late in the 2nd quarter, but the 49ers added two touchdowns to make it 20-3 at halftime. New England did find the endzone in the 3rd quarter, with Jacoby Brissett connecting with Austin Hooper for a touchdown, but the 49ers responded with a touchdown of their own to keep the game out of reach.

In the 4th quarter, the Patriots added a field goal and a late touchdown when Brissett found Antonio Gibson for a score. The Patriots didn’t help themselves with turnovers, as Brissett was intercepted early in the 2nd quarter. The Patriots were +10.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and the 17-point loss was not enough to cover the spread.

The Patriots’ offense struggled in their 30-13 loss to the 49ers, managing just 12 first downs and 143 yards passing. Jacoby Brissett, playing at quarterback, completed 19 of 32 passes for 168 yards, with one touchdown and one interception. New England’s running game was also ineffective, with only 73 yards on 24 attempts.

New England’s offensive line allowed six sacks, and the team converted only 31.2% of their third down attempts. Brissett’s touchdown pass went to Antonio Gibson, who led the team with 67 yards receiving, 50 of which came on one catch. Rhamondre Stevenson was the top rusher with 43 yards.

In their 30-13 loss to the 49ers, the Patriots’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 148 rushing yards on 32 attempts. Despite this, they did force one interception and held the 49ers to a 3-of-8 mark on third down. However, the Patriots allowed 283 passing yards on just 15 completions, including a touchdown. They also allowed the 49ers to gain 10.5 yards per pass attempt.

New England’s defense managed just one sack in the game and lost the QB hit differential by -6. Overall, they allowed 431 total yards to the 49ers.