Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24
This article was published on Oct 1, 2024. Today’s picks NFL picks

The Jaguars are favored at -152 on the money line as they face off against the Colts at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th. The Colts and Jaguars are both looking to even out their records in this week five AFC South matchup. The Jaguars are -3 point favorites on the point spread, and the over/under line is set at 46 points. CBS is handling the television coverage of this one.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Indianapolis Colts +3
This game will be played at EverBank Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th.
WHY BET THE INDIANAPOLIS COLTS:
- We have the Colts winning this one by a score of 25 to 20
- Not only do we have the Colts winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
- We see this game finishing below the line of 46 points
Will The Colts Pick Up A Win On The Road?
The Colts picked up a 27-24 win over the Steelers in their most recent game, bringing their record to 2-2 for the season. Despite falling behind 14-0 early, Indianapolis fought back to take a 27-24 victory. They were +2.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and their comeback win was capped off by a touchdown from Joe Flacco to Drew Ogletree at the start of the 4th quarter and a late defensive stand to secure the win.
The Colts initially took a 14-0 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Steelers fought back to take a 17-3 lead going into halftime. However, the Colts scored 10 points in the 4th quarter, and their defense held strong to pull off the comeback. Justin Fields and Najee Harris connected for a touchdown for the Steelers, giving them a 24-10 lead in the 4th, but Indianapolis responded with two touchdowns to pull ahead.
Indianapolis’ offense picked up 22 first downs in their 27-24 win over the Steelers, as they put up 225 yards through the air on 30 passing attempts. Joe Flacco, who threw for 168 yards and two touchdowns, led the passing game. The Colts’ running game saw Jonathan Taylor rush for 88 yards on 21 attempts, including a long run of 21 yards and one touchdown.
Michael Pittman Jr. was the leading receiver in the game, with 113 yards on six catches. The Colts converted on 53.3% of their third down attempts and allowed two sacks in the game.
In the Colts’ 27-24 win over the Steelers, their defense allowed 404 yards, with Pittsburgh converting on 46.2% of their third down attempts. Despite giving up 122 rushing yards on 30 attempts, Indianapolis’ defense came away with four sacks and held the Steelers to 3.7 yards per carry. They also limited Pittsburgh to 64.7% completions and forced a +1 advantage in both tackles for loss and quarterback hits.
The Colts’ secondary gave up 282 passing yards, including one touchdown. Indianapolis will look to improve their overall defensive performance in the upcoming weeks, as they allowed the Steelers to move the ball effectively for most of the game.
Will The Jaguars Win At Home Over The Colts?
Jacksonville’s 24-20 loss to the Texans dropped them to 0-4 for the season. The Jaguars were looking for their first win of the season but blew a 20-17 4th quarter lead in their latest game. They were +5.5 point underdogs heading into the game and ended up losing by 4 points, as the Texans outscored them 7-0 in the final quarter.
Despite the tough loss, the Jaguars got off to a good start, leading 10-7 after the 1st quarter and adding a late touchdown in the 3rd quarter to take the lead. However, the Texans took the lead for good with 19 seconds left in the 2nd quarter, and the Jaguars couldn’t capitalize on their 3rd quarter momentum. Jacksonville’s Trevor Lawrence connected with Brian Thomas Jr. for two touchdowns in the 3rd quarter to briefly give them the lead.
The Jaguars’ offense put up 155 yards through the air in their 24-20 loss to the Texans, with 169 yards coming from quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Lawrence completed 18 of 33 passes and threw two touchdowns. The Jaguars finished with 17 first downs and 158 yards on the ground, averaging 6.6 yards per attempt.
Brian Thomas Jr. led Jacksonville with 86 yards receiving and one touchdown. Tank Bigsby was the top rusher with 90 yards on just seven attempts, including a 58-yard run. The Jaguars struggled on third down, converting only 33.3% of their chances.
In their 24-20 loss to the Texans, the Jaguars allowed 27 completions for 334 yards through the air. The defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Texans to convert 53.8% of their third down attempts. Despite this, Jacksonville’s defense did come up with two sacks and had more QB hits and tackles for loss than Houston.
The Jaguars’ run defense allowed 101 yards on 26 attempts (3.9 yards per attempt) and gave up two passing touchdowns while allowing the Texans to complete 67.5% of their passes. Jacksonville’s offense put up 435 yards in the game.
