Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans Betting Pick & Prediction 10/6/24
The Texans are the slight underdog at -103 on the money line as they host the Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th at NRG Stadium in Houston. Buffalo is favored at -118 on the road, with the point spread favoring them by -1. The game is being televised on CBS, and the over/under line is set at 47.5 points.
BUFFALO BILLS VS HOUSTON TEXANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Bills -1
This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 6th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:
- We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 23 to 21
- Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -1
- We see this game finishing below the line of 47.5 points
Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?
The Buffalo Bills’ record is now 3-1 after they suffered a 35-10 loss to the Ravens in their most recent game. The Bills were 2.5-point underdogs on the road and their loss vs. the Ravens was by a margin of -25 points. Buffalo’s defeat also meant they did not cover the spread, as they lost by 15 points, and the combined 45 points was below the over/under line of 47.5 points.
The Ravens took a 7-3 lead in the 1st quarter, and Buffalo managed to kick a field goal to make the score 7-3. However, the Ravens dominated the 2nd quarter, scoring two touchdowns to take a 21-3 lead at halftime. Buffalo’s only touchdown came in the 3rd quarter when Josh Allen connected with Khalil Shakir for a 52-yard score. But by that time, the Ravens had already added one more touchdown.
The Bills’ offense struggled to move the ball in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, managing just 12 first downs and 155 yards. Buffalo’s running game was limited to 81 yards on 23 attempts, and they converted only 23.1% of their third down chances. Josh Allen was sacked three times and finished with 180 yards passing, completing 16 of 29 attempts.
Allen failed to throw any touchdowns in the game and had a passer rating of 73. Khalil Shakir led Buffalo with 62 receiving yards, 52 of which came on a single reception. James Cook was the top rusher with 39 yards.
Buffalo’s defense struggled to stop the run in their 35-10 loss to the Ravens, giving up a massive 271 rushing yards on just 34 attempts. Despite this, they held the Ravens to 156 passing yards on 14 completions. Baltimore finished with 427 total yards and averaged 8 yards per rushing attempt.
The Bills’ defense allowed two passing touchdowns and a 73.7% completion rate to the Ravens. On third downs, they allowed the Ravens to convert 55.6% of their opportunities and managed just one sack in the game.
Will The Texans Win At Home Over The Bills?
The Texans are now 3-1 after their 24-20 win over the Jaguars. Houston found themselves trailing early after the Jaguars scored a touchdown, but the Texans responded with a Stefon Diggs touchdown to even the score at 7 in the first quarter. Despite falling behind 20-17 heading into the 4th quarter, the Texans closed the game with a touchdown from Dare Ogunbowale and another from Nico Collins to secure the win.
The Texans led 17-13 at halftime, thanks to a late touchdown from Dalton Schultz with 19 seconds left in the 2nd quarter. Houston’s defense held strong in the 4th quarter, not allowing the Jaguars to score and giving their offense a chance to come back and win the game. Houston was favored by -5.5, and with the 4-point win, they did not cover the spread. The combined 44 points was just under the over/under line of 44.5 points.
Quarterback C.J. Stroud led the Texans to a 24-20 win over the Jaguars, throwing for 334 yards on 27 completions (67%) and two touchdowns. Houston’s offense finished with 26 first downs and 334 total yards. Stroud was not sacked and had a passer rating of 110.
Nico Collins was a key target for Stroud, finishing with 151 yards receiving and one touchdown. Cam Akers led the team in rushing with 53 yards on 13 attempts. The Texans converted on 53.8% of their third down attempts.
Despite giving up 158 rushing yards on just 24 attempts, the Texans’ defense allowed only 155 passing yards in their 24-20 win over the Jaguars. Jacksonville finished with 313 total yards. Houston’s defense held the Jaguars to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down and limited them to 4.7 yards per pass attempt.
The Texans’ defense recorded one sack in the game and allowed just 18 completions (54.5%) to the Jaguars. Even though they struggled against the run, they were effective enough to help secure the win.