Auburn Tigers vs Georgia Bulldogs Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

Georgia is the heavy favorite in this week six matchup against Auburn, with the point spread set at -24.5. The game is scheduled for 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th, at Sanford Stadium in Athens, and will be broadcast on ABC. The over/under line is currently 53.5 points. The Bulldogs come in with a 3-1 record, while Auburn is 2-3 on the season.
AUBURN TIGERS VS GEORGIA BULLDOGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Auburn Tigers +24.5
This game will be played at Sanford Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE AUBURN TIGERS:
- We have the Georgia Bulldogs winning this one by a score of 35 to 12
- Even though we like the Georgia Bulldogs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Auburn Tigers at +24.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 53.5 points
Will The Auburn Tigers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Auburn comes into Week 6 with a 2-3 record, facing Georgia on the road. They’ve gone 1-3 at home this season and are ranked 38th in our power rankings. Auburn has a 26% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, according to projections.
The Tigers have been favored in four of their five games but have only gone 1-3 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +14.6 points per game, and they are 1-3 against the spread this season.
This week’s over/under line is set at 53.5 points. Auburn’s games have averaged 52.2 points, with their average over/under line at 51.9 points. Their over/under record stands at 2-2 for the season.
Auburn’s offense is averaging 33.4 points per game heading into week 6, placing them 35th in the nation. Our power rankings have them at 82nd overall. They are 15th in passing yards per game, averaging 294.8 yards, and they rank 38th in both passing and rushing attempts.
Payton Thorne leads the passing attack with 1,038 yards and 10 touchdowns, though he has thrown six interceptions. His passer rating is 102. Jarquez Hunter has rushed for 437 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has 415 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 17 catches.
Auburn’s defense has allowed an average of 18.8 points per game this season, ranking 34th nationally. In their recent game against Oklahoma, they gave up 27 points but allowed just 11 first downs and 291 total yards. Auburn’s defense held Oklahoma to 130 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 161 passing yards, with no passing touchdowns allowed.
Opponents have averaged 123 rushing yards per game on 36 attempts against Auburn, while quarterbacks have completed 55.2% of their passes, averaging 208 passing yards per game. Auburn’s defense has held opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 75.3, which ranks 40th in the country.
Are The Georgia Bulldogs Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Georgia enters Week 6 against Auburn with a 3-1 record and ranks 4th in our power rankings. They have a 99.9% chance of becoming bowl-eligible, and we project a 5.3% chance of winning the Southeastern. However, they have a 71.7% chance of making the playoff, which is the 5th highest in the country.
So far, Georgia is 1-0 at home and 1-1 on the road, with a +17.5 average scoring margin. They’ve been favored in three of their four games, holding a 2-1 record as the favorite.
This season, Georgia’s over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 47 points. Their average over/under line is 48.2 points, and this week’s line is set at 53.5 points.
Heading into week 6, Georgia’s offense is averaging 32.2 points per game, placing them 40th in the nation. However, they are ranked 14th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is averaging 302.2 yards per game, and they are 40th in passing attempts, with 36 per game.
Carson Beck has thrown for 1,119 yards, completing 62.9% of his passes, with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. His passer rating is 105. Georgia is converting only 33.3% of their third downs and is 107th in rushing, averaging 129.8 yards per game. Trevor Etienne leads the team with 212 rushing yards, while Arian Smith has 274 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
Georgia’s defense, ranked 10th nationally, has allowed an average of 14.8 points per game this season. However, in their recent game against Alabama, they gave up 41 points, including 551 total yards, with 374 passing yards and 177 rushing yards.
Opponents have averaged 127.5 rushing yards per game and 162 passing yards against Georgia, completing 64.6% of their passes. Quarterbacks have a passer rating of 77.7 when facing Georgia’s defense.