Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

Cleveland comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -183 compared to the Astros at +153. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the game is being played at Progressive Field in Cleveland, where the forecast calls for light rain and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s.

First pitch for this AL matchup is set for 3:10 PM ET, and the game can be seen on BSGL. Ryan Gusto is starting for the Astros, and the Guardians are starting Nick Sandlin. Houston is currently on a two-game winning streak, and they are 1st in the AL West, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central with a record of 92-69.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +153

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS GUARDIANS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Houston picked up a 4-3 road win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a three-run 2nd inning and scored the game’s final run in the 5th. As for the Guardians, they scored one run in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 4th.

Justin Verlander started for the Astros and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued zero walks. As for the Guardians, Ben Lively got the start and took the loss, going just four innings and giving up two earned runs.

Mauricio Dubon, Zach Dezenzo, and Kyle Tucker each had two hits for the Astros. Dubon and Dezenzo each scored two runs, while Tucker drove in a run. Jose Ramirez did a bit of everything for the Guardians, going 2/3 with a home run and three RBIs.

Astros Records & Stats

Houston is closing out the regular season with a two-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. The Astros are 88-73 overall and have won two straight games, taking the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have gone 29-23 against other teams in the AL West.

At home, the Astros are 46-35 this year, and they are just above .500 at 42-38 on the road. As the road underdog, the Astros have gone 18-16 this year and are 27-22-2 in all series this year. Their overall record is 67-51 when favored this season.

As the road team, the Astros have a run line record of 45-35, and they are currently on a two-game run line win streak. Their average run margin in all games is +0.6, with a scoring margin of +0.2 on the road. They are 28-15 against the run line as the underdog.

When the Houston Astros hit the road to take on the Cleveland Guardians today, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Astros have played in 123 games with higher over/under lines than this one, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the year is 65-90, and they have gone over the total in 11 of 31 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs.

For today’s game against the Guardians, the Astros will rely on Ryan Gusto to set the tone. It’s his debut for the season and he’s looking to put together a strong start in his debut.

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are batting .262 as a team, and their team on-base percentage of .322 is 6th in the league. Houston has been a good home run hitting team this season, as they are 10th in the league in homers and have the 8th best slugging percentage in the league.

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ best power hitter this season, as his 35 home runs are 8th in the league and the most on the team. He is also leading the team with 86 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Kyle Tucker has gone 14/32 with three homers and five RBIs. Alex Bregman has also been hot of late, going 11/34 with three homers in his last nine games.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland comes into today’s game vs. the Astros having dropped two straight games, and they are 92-69 overall this season. The Guardians lead the AL Central by six games over the Tigers, and their division record is 30-22 this year. At home, the Guardians are 50-30 while going 42-39 on the road.

So far, the Guardians have been good as the favorite, going 64-36, and they are 28-33 as the underdog. Cleveland has an overall series record of 29-16-6 this year. In their series vs. the Astros, the Guardians trail 0-2.

The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, going 82-79 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, where they are 43-38 against the run line. Their overall average run margin is +0.5 runs per game, but they have been even better at home, with an average run margin of +0.7 runs per game.

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Houston Astros today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played to an average of 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 68-82. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 18-23. In total, 111 of their games have had higher lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 68.9% of their games. The under has hit in their last five games.

Cleveland is starting Nick Sandlin today, and he has made just one start this season. Looking back at his last outing, he went 1 2/3 innings out of the bullpen and didn’t give up a run. Sandlin finished with a no-decision in that outing. For the season, he has made 68 appearances and has a record of 8-0 with a 3.75 ERA. Sandlin’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .215 off him this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 10.61 strikeouts and 4.21 walks.

Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/34 over his last nine games with four homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .279 with a team-high 39 homers and 118 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has gone deep 31 times this season, which is 12th in the league.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 11th in the league in home runs. Their team batting average of .238 is 15th in the league, and they have been good at not striking out, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league. Cleveland’s offense has been better at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.