New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

The Mets and Brewers are set to face off in an NL matchup at 3:10 PM ET on Sunday. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Brewers are slight favorites on the money line (+104). The money line odds have the Mets at -123.

David Peterson will go for the Mets, and he is facing off against Colin Rea. New York is 87-72, and they are 3rd in the NL East, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 93-68.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline +104

This game will be played at American Family Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

HOW TO BET THE METS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 7 to 6
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 13 runs and like the over

It was all Milwaukee in the last game of this series, as the Brewers took down the Mets by a score of 6-0. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Mets and struck out 18 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at -109 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Jared Koenig for the Brewers and Jose Quintana for the Mets. Koenig only went one inning but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. On the other side, Quintana was tagged for two homers and five runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Milwaukee’s two homers came from Willy Adames and Jackson Chourio. Adames, Joey Ortiz, and Andruw Monasterio each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are 87-72 overall and trail the Phillies by six games for the NL East lead. New York has dropped three straight games, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Brewers. In the NL East, they are 29-21 when playing other teams in the division.

At home, the Mets are 46-35 this year and 41-37 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 58-39 this year, and they are 29-33 when the underdog. So far, they have lost five straight games as the road team. New York’s overall series record is 28-18-8, and they are 6-4 over their last 10 games overall.

The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 80-79 overall. They are 42-36 on the run line on the road but have failed to cover in their last three road games. They have been favored in 97 games this season, going 44-53 on the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

The Mets are on the road against the Brewers today, with the Over/Under line set at 8 runs. Their combined run average this season is 9.1, and their O/U record is 80-74. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 15-9-1. This season, 51.6% of their games have had O/U lines set at over 8 runs, while 32.7% have had lines set at under 8 runs.

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .244 this season, and he has a total of 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Peterson took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had pitched well, going 7 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Per nine innings, Peterson has 7.34 strikeouts and 3.39 walks.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso leads the team with 34 homers, which is 9th in the league, and Lindor is 12th in the MLB with 31 homers. Alonso also leads New York with 88 RBIs, while Lindor is 3rd on the team with 86 RBIs. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .271, and Alonso is batting .241 for the season.

Over the Mets’ last five games, Jose Iglesias has gone 8/19, and he is also on a 19-game hitting streak. However, Mark Vientos has struggled of late, going just 4/21 in his last five games.

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers are closing in on the NL Central division title, as they lead the Cubs by ten games with an overall record of 93-68. Milwaukee has taken three straight games overall, and they lead the Mets 2-0 in their series. In the NL Central, the Brewers have gone 32-20 this season.

At home, the Brewers are 47-33 this season, and they are just above .500 on the road at 46-35. As the home underdog, the Brewers have gone 12-12 this season, and they are 39-30 as the underdog overall. Milwaukee’s series record is 29-18-4 this season, and they have won five straight series on the road.

At home, the Brewers are 37-43 on the run line, but they have covered in two straight games. As the underdog, they are 46-23 on the run line, while they are just 36-56 as the favorite. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 3.6, while in their losses, it is -2.9.

With a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game, the Milwaukee Brewers have seen their games go over the total 81 times this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 13-13-5. Overall, 52.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Right-hander Colin Rea gets the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Mets at home. Rea has made 26 starts this year and has a record of 12-5 with an ERA of 4.17. Looking at his overall numbers, Rea has a WHIP of 1.23 and has issued just 2.22 walks per nine innings. Rea’s last outing came out of the bullpen, where he went 1 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Rea has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three appearances.

Heading into today’s game, the Brewers are 6th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Milwaukee’s offense is also one of the best in the league in terms of batting average and on-base percentage. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league, and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league.

Willy Adames has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 home runs are the best on the team and 11th best in the MLB. His 112 RBIs are 4th best in the league. Rhys Hoskins has also been a key power threat for the Brewers, with 26 homers this season, but he is batting just .214. Catcher William Contreras comes into the game batting .281 and is 2nd on the team with 92 RBIs.