Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24
First pitch for Sunday’s Orioles vs. Twins matchup is set for 3:10 PM ET from Target Field in Minneapolis. The Twins are the betting favorite, with money line odds of -169, while the Orioles are sitting at +141. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.
Baltimore will be looking to keep their two-game winning streak alive, as they are 90-71 and in 2nd place in the AL East. Minnesota, meanwhile, will be trying to snap a three-game losing streak. They are 4th in the AL Central with an overall record of 82-79. Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, while the Twins are going with Bailey Ober.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -169
This game will be played at Target Field at 3:10 ET on Sunday, September 29th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Baltimore cruised to a 9-2 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring three runs, and added three more in the 5th. As for the Twins, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +103 on the money line.
Matt Bowman only went 1 1/3 innings for the Orioles but didn’t give up a run and got the win. Zebby Matthews had a rough outing for the Twins, giving up six runs in three innings of work. He took the loss.
Emmanuel Rivera had a huge game at the plate for the Orioles, going 4/4 with two homers and four RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn also went deep for Baltimore, going 2/5 with three RBIs. Ryan Jeffers hit the game’s other home run, going 2/4.
Orioles Records & Stats
Heading into their final game of the season, the Orioles are three games behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. Overall, the Orioles are 90-71 and have won two straight games. Their two most recent wins came in the first two games of this series vs. the Twins. In the AL East, they have a division record of 32-20.
At home, the Orioles have gone 44-37 this season and are just above .500 at 46-34 on the road. As the underdog, the Orioles have gone 20-19 this year, and they are 16-15 as the road underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 26-18-7, and they have dropped three straight series at home.
The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 86-75 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, where they are 48-32. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 26-13 against the run line as an underdog this season. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.
In the 128 games this season where the Baltimore Orioles have had an over/under line set, the average line has been 8 runs. The O/U line for today’s game against the Minnesota Twins is set at 7.5 runs. The O’s have gone over the total in 87 of those 128 games, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Their current over streak is at four games.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Twins on the road. This year, he has made 23 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Suárez has a record of 8-7 this year and an ERA of 3.74. In his 23 starts, he has allowed a total of 15 home runs. Looking at his numbers on the road, Suárez is 5-3 with a 4.67 ERA. He most recently faced the Tigers, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. The right-hander has lost each of his last three outings.
For the Orioles to win today, they will need Anthony Santander to get going at the plate, as he is batting just .235 this season but does lead the team with 44 home runs and 102 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been a bright spot for the Orioles, hitting .282 with 37 homers and 92 RBIs. He has also been getting on base at a good clip, with an OBP of .366.
Over the team’s last six games, Adley Rutschman has gone 8/27 with four runs scored and two RBIs. Emmanuel Rivera has also been hot of late, going 7/11 with two homers and seven RBIs. Ryan O’Hearn and Rivera have also each hit two homers in their last seven and five games, respectively.
Twins Records & Stats
With an overall record of 82-79, the Twins are 10 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. Currently, they trail the Royals by three games for the third spot in the division and are three games behind the Royals for the third spot in the division. The Twins have dropped three straight games, and they are 2-8 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Twins are 43-37 this season, and they are just below .500 at 39-42 on the road. As the favorite, the Twins are 65-49 this season and 17-30 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 26-21-4, and they have lost four straight series.
When looking at the Minnesota Twins’ run line, you can see that they have a losing record, going 73-88. At home, they are 33-47, while on the road, they are 40-41. They have lost their last three games against the run line at home, and they are 3-3 in their last six games overall. Their average run margin is 0.1, and they have a scoring margin of 0.2 at home and -0.1 on the road.
The Twins have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 83-72, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 20-18. Overall, 65.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. They are currently on a four-game over streak.
Twins starter Bailey Ober will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, where he gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Against the Orioles today, he will look to recapture the form he showed on September 18th vs. the Guardians, where he had 12 strikeouts in seven innings of work. Ober’s ERA for the season is 3.94, along with a record of 12-8. Opponents are batting .205 off the right-hander this season.
Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs, with 22, and RBIs, with 70. However, he is batting just .237 for the season. Willi Castro is hitting just one point higher, at .247, but has 60 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 64 is 2nd on the team and 2nd in the MLB.
Over his last six games, Byron Buxton has gone 9/26 for the Twins, including one home run and three RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .226. Carlos Santana is also on a four-game hitting streak, as is Trevor Larnach.