Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24
At 1:05 PM ET, the Pirates and Yankees square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the money line at -134. The money line odds for a Pirates win are sitting at +114.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the forecast calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the high 60s. Luis Gil is starting for the Yankees, and the Pirates are going with Paul Skanes. Pittsburgh is 75-85, while the Yankees are leading the AL East with a record of 93-67.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS PITTSBURGH PIRATES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -134
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:05 ET on Saturday, September 28th.
HOW TO BET THE PIRATES VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Pirates to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-2 road win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding their final run in the 2nd. On the other side, the Yankees got on the board with two runs in the 5th.
Jared Jones only went 4 1/3 innings for the Pirates but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. Carmen Mlodzinski got the win out of the bullpen, and Aroldis Chapman got the save.
Bryan Reynolds and Nick Gonzales each homered for the Pirates, while Jazz Chisholm Jr. went 2/4 with two RBIs for the Yankees. Reynolds, Gonzales, and Reynolds each scored two runs for Pittsburgh’s offense.
Pirates Records & Stats
Pittsburgh is 75-85 overall and are 5th in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 17 games. The Pirates are 25-27 against other teams in the NL Central. The Pirates are on a two-game road winning streak, and they are 36-43 on the road this year.
So far, the Pirates have been the favorite in 62 of their games, and they have gone 34-28 in those games. As the underdog, Pittsburgh is just 41-57 this year. The Pirates have dropped four straight series and are 20-25-6 in series this year. Their overall record is a result of going just 4-6 over their last ten games.
The Pirates have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 85-75. They have been especially good on the road, going 46-33 on the run line. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have a scoring margin of -0.4 runs per game away from home.
With an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees are expected to score fewer runs than their combined season average of 8.6 runs per game. The Pirates have played to the under in 21 of their 34 games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season.
Right-hander Paul Skenes is on the mound for the Pirates today as he gets set to face the Yankees on the road. Skenes has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 11-3. His ERA for the season is an impressive 1.99, along with a WHIP of .96. Skenes’ last outing came on September 22nd against the Reds, where he picked up the win. In that outing, he went five innings and didn’t give up a run, giving up just two hits in the process. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight starts.
So far this season, the Pirates have been one of the league’s worst offensive teams, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (24th) and batting a collective .235, which is 13th in the league. They have also struggled with strikeouts, averaging 9 per contest (27th). Pittsburgh’s team on-base percentage of .301 is 19th in the league.
Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz have been the Pirates’ most consistent power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 24 homers and Cruz right behind him at 21. Reynolds is also batting .276 for the season, while Cruz is hitting .262. However, Reynolds has gone just 7/33 in his last nine games, and Cruz is hitting just .154 in that stretch.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are 93-67 overall this season, putting them 1st in the AL East. They lead the Orioles by four games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have gone just 26-26 against other AL East teams. The Yankees are the favorite today, and they have a record of 75-59 as the favorite this year.
At home, the Yankees are 43-36 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 50-31. New York has an overall series record of 30-17-4, and they have won three straight series on the road. This year, the Yankees are 18-8 as the underdog.
When the Yankees win, they do so by an average of 4.1 runs per game, which has helped them to an 83-77 run line record this season. They have been a better run line bet on the road, where they are 49-32, compared to at home, where they are 34-45. As the favorite, they are 61-73 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 22-4.
When the New York Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 9.1 runs per game this season. The Yankees have an over/under record of 84-71 on the year, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 7-10. Overall, 138 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 86.2% of their games, while only 5 games have had lower lines, making up just 3.1% of their contests.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 15-6 and an ERA of 3.27. So far, he has made 28 starts and has pitched well at home, going 6-3 with a 5.87 ERA. Gil has done most of his damage on the road, where he is 9-3 with a 3.84 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Gil picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up just one earned run in three straight outings. Gil has a total of 10 quality starts this season.
Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top-scoring offense in the MLB at 5 runs per game. This is being done while also batting a collective .249, which is 7th in the league. As a team, the Yankees are also the league’s best team in terms of drawing walks.
Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top two power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 58 homers and Soto’s 41 homers being the 4th most in the MLB. Judge has also been hot of late, going 6/12 with four homers in his last four games. Soto is currently on a four-game hitting streak.