Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24

There does appear to be a chance for light rain in Philadelphia on Wednesday, where the Phillies and Cubs will face off at Citizens Bank Park. The game is getting started at 6:05 PM ET. MARQ is carrying the Cubs on TV, and they are 81-77, while the Phillies are 93-65 and 1st in the NL East.

The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and Philadelphia is favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -192 compared to the Cubs at +160. Javier Assad is starting for the Cubs, while the Phillies have Cristopher Sanchez on the mound.

CHICAGO CUBS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 8 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:05 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Chicago cruised to a 10-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their ten runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Cubs were favored at -108.

Justin Steele only went four innings for the Cubs but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, Tanner Banks was tagged for three homers and seven runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work for the Phillies.

Cody Bellinger, Nico Hoerner, and Seiya Suzuki each had two RBIs for the Cubs’ offense. Bellinger, Dansby Swanson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong each had two hits and scored twice for Chicago.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 81-77 overall this season, and they are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cubs are on the road today, and they are 21-28 against other teams in the NL Central this year. So far, they are 43-38 as the favorite and 38-39 as the underdog.

At home, the Cubs have gone 42-36 compared to 39-41 on the road. Chicago has an overall series record of 22-25-3 coming into today’s game, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games overall.

When the Cubs win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which is the best in the league. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.1 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. Their run line record is 77-81, and they are 47-33 on the road against the run line.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around their season average of 8.8 runs per game. The Cubs have gone over the total in 74 of their 152 games this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the line has been set at 8 runs, the Cubs have gone over the total 13 times, under 19 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 77 of their games have had O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, while 47 games have had lower O/U lines.

Right-hander Javier Assad gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.34 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .243 this season. Assad’s last outing came on September 19th, where he finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went five innings, giving up three earned runs, and one homer. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts.

Chicago has been a good road team this season when it comes to scoring runs, averaging 5.1 runs per game away from home. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per contest, which is 12th in the league. The Cubs have been a good home run hitting team this season, but they do have the 15th ranked offense in terms of home runs.

Over his last seven games, Nico Hoerner is batting .440, and Ian Happ has two homers in this stretch. For the season, Happ leads the team with 25 homers and is also the team’s leader in RBIs. Seiya Suzuki is 2nd on the team in homers and is batting .281 for the season.

Phillies Records & Stats

With an overall record of 93-65, the Phillies lead the NL East by 5.5 games over the Mets. The Phillies are 28-21 against other teams in the NL East. They have gone just 4-6 over their last ten games and are coming off a loss to the Cubs in their most recent game.

At home, the Phillies are 53-27 this season, and they are just above .500 at 40-38 on the road. The Phillies have really excelled as the favorite this season, going 80-47. As the favorite at home, the Phillies are 52-24 this year.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, which is a big reason why they have gone 76-82 against the run line this season. Their overall run line record is 36-44 at home, where they have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 60-67 against the run line, while they are 16-15 as the underdog.

Philadelphia Phillies games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-75. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 19-18-3. Overall, 73 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher, which accounts for 46.2% of their games. In the 45 games with lower lines, they have gone 28.5% over the total.

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-9. His ERA for the season is 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Sánchez has turned in 17 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout this year. In his most recent outing, he faced the Mets and picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Sánchez has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.23 ERA compared to 5.46 on the road.

As a team, the Phillies are 4th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 7th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .258 (4th). This has helped them to the 3rd best OPS in the league.

Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper have been the Phillies’ top power hitters this season, with Schwarber’s 38 homers leading the team and Harper’s 30 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Harper is also hitting .287 for the season and has a team-high 87 RBIs. Schwarber is batting .250 for the season and has gone 3/8 with three homers over his last eight games. Nick Castellanos has also been hot of late, going 11/29 in his last eight games and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.