Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 9/25/24
At 2:10 PM ET, the Astros and Mariners will face off in an AL West matchup. This one is being played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and has the Astros favored on the money line (+113). The Mariners are 2nd in the AL West with a record of 81-77.
Wednesday’s forecasted starters are George Kirby for the Mariners and Yusei Kikuchi for the Astros. Currently, the over/under line is at 7 runs, and the Mariners are favored on the money line (-134).
HOUSTON ASTROS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline +113
This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 2:10 ET on Wednesday, September 25th.
HOW TO BET THE MARINERS VS ASTROS:
- We have the Astros winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Astros to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Astros vs Mariners series. Houston went into the matchup as -132 favorites and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Mariners had a chance to tie or win the game in the 9th inning but could only muster one run.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Logan Gilbert, as he gave up just four hits and two earned runs in six innings of work. Framber Valdez got the win for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Jorge Polanco did all he could for the Mariners, going 4/4 with a home run. He scored all three of Seattle’s runs. As for the Astros, Alex Bregman and Jason Heyward each had two hits and an RBI.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 81-77 overall and trails the Astros by five games in the AL West. This season, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the division. The Mariners are currently on a two-game road winning streak in series play, and their overall series record is 21-24-4 this year.
At home, the Mariners have gone 46-32 compared to 35-45 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 58-48 this year and 23-29 as the underdog. They have put together an overall record of 6-4 over their last 10 games.
The Mariners have been a strong bet to cover the run line on the road this season, going 36-44 overall. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 27-25 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run margin in all games is +0.4 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.6 runs per game at home.
When the Mariners are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7 runs, which is below their season average of 7.9 runs per game. Overall, Seattle has played to a 74-74 over/under record this season, and when the line is set at 7 runs, they are 17-20-8. The majority of their games have had higher over/under lines, with 100 games set above 7 runs, accounting for 63.3% of their contests.
Seattle is sending right-hander George Kirby to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 32 starts this season and has a record of 13-11 with a 3.60 ERA. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 32 appearances, he has turned in 19 quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Kirby picked up the win vs. the Rangers, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 4.47 ERA on the road compared to 3.80 at home.
Julio Rodríguez has been tearing the cover off the ball for the Mariners of late, going 17/40 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .275 with 19 homers and 65 RBIs. Cal Raleigh is also among the league leaders in RBIs, as his 96 is 15th in the MLB. However, he is batting just .218 this season.
As a team, the Mariners are 22nd in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .224 and are the worst team in the league in terms of strikeouts. Seattle’s team batting average is just 22nd in the league.
Astros Records & Stats
The Astros are currently 86-72 this season, putting them in 1st place in the AL West. They hold a 5.0 game lead over the Mariners and are 29-22 in divisional matchups. At home, the Astros are 46-34 this year and 40-38 on the road.
So far, the Astros have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 67-51. They are 19-21 when coming in as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Astros are 27-20-2. They head into today’s game vs. the Mariners with an overall record of 3-5 as the home underdog.
When it comes to betting the run line on the Astros, it’s been a 50/50 proposition this season. They are 81-77 against the run line, with a 38-42 mark at home and a 43-35 record on the road. They have been favored in 118 games and have gone 55-63 against the run line in those contests. In games they have won, they have an average run differential of +3.7, but in losses, they are -3.1.
The Astros have played 152 games this season, and only one of them has had an over/under line set at 7 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 8.6, and their over/under record is 64-88. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs, and they have played 151 games with lines set higher than 7 runs. The over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 1-4-1.
Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Astros today and is facing his former team, the Mariners. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 9-9 with an ERA of 4.19. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is 1.21, and he has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 4-7 and an ERA of 4.48. In his last outing, Kikuchi finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on five hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings.
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 35 homers lead the team and are 8th in the league. Alvarez also has the most RBIs on the team, coming in at 86. He is batting .308 for the season. Alex Bregman has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/20 with three homers in his last five games. This has raised his season average to .257.
As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are the league’s 3rd best hitting team, with a combined batting average of .262. They are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. Houston comes into the game with a team BABIP of .30, which is 5th in the league.