Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24
Max Fried will start for the Braves on Saturday, and he is facing off against Adam Oller for the Marlins. Atlanta is 83-71 and they are 3rd in the NL East, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East with a record of 57-97.
The over/under line for Saturday’s Braves vs. Marlins matchup is at 8 runs, and the Braves are heavy money line favorites, with their odds sitting at -265 compared to the Marlins at +219. This one is set to get started at 4:10 PM ET from loanDepot Park in Miami, and BSFL will be televising it.
MIAMI MARLINS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +219
This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 4:10 ET on Saturday, September 21st.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS MARLINS:
- We have the Marlins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Miami picked up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 5th. As for the Braves, they scored one run in the 3rd and added two more in the 6th.
Valente Bellozo got the win for the Marlins, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs. Jesus Tinoco got the save. Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up four runs.
Jake Burger and Kyle Stowers each had two hits and an RBI for Miami’s offense. Ramon Laureano hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with three RBIs.
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins, the Braves are 83-71 overall, putting them 3rd in the NL East. Currently, they trail the Phillies by nine games in the division. Overall, they have gone 24-23 against other teams in the NL East.
So far, the Braves have been good at home, going 42-33, but they are just above .500 at 41-38 on the road. This season, they have been good as the favorite, going 70-53, and they are 13-18 as the underdog. The Braves’ overall series record is 26-17-7, but they are currently losing their series vs. the Marlins.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run differential of +1.2 runs per game, but they are only 42-37 against the run line. Their average run differential in all games is +0.5 runs per game.
When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-91. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 9-16-1. Overall, 56.5% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Marlins on the road. Fried has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with a 3.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has a WHIP of 1.20 and has pitched 159 2/3 innings. This year, he has turned in 14 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. In his last outing, Fried took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Fried’s ERA on the road is 5.63 compared to 4.73 at home.
Marcell Ozuna has been a huge run producer for the Braves this season, as his 101 RBIs are 9th in the league and the best mark on the team. Ozuna has also been a force at the plate, hitting .307 for the season and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is also a player to watch, as he is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and has driven in 94 runs.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 11th best team batting average in the MLB.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 57-97, putting them 35 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 18-32 in divisional games. The Marlins have gone 3-7 over their last 10 games and are 26-35 at home this season.
As the underdog, the Marlins have gone 53-83 this season, while going just 4-14 as the favorite. Miami’s overall series record is 11-28-9, and they have dropped three straight series.
The Marlins have been a solid team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 72-82 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, going 38-37 against the run line. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 70-66 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential is -1.4 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of -1.8 runs per game at home.
Today’s over/under line for the Miami Marlins’ game against the Atlanta Braves is set at 8 runs. The Marlins have a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season and their over/under record is 82-67. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 18-12-2. Overall, 54.5% of their games this season have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs.
Right-hander Adam Oller gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 5.40. Oller’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his last outing, he took the loss, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Oller has given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.12 walks compared to 7.39 strikeouts.
Over the past nine games, Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 10/33 (.303) with two homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .245, and he leads the team with 68 RBIs and 27 homers. Otto Lopez has also been on a tear of late, going 11/33 in his last nine games, and he is currently on a seven-game hitting streak.
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, and they are near the bottom of the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and have been about average in terms of striking out and taking walks. Miami’s team OPS of .670 is 25th in the league.