Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 9/21/24

At 4:10 PM ET, the Phillies and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Phillies are the slight money line favorite (-108). The Mets are at -109, and the over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

SNY will be televising this one, and Sean Manaea will be on the mound for the Mets. The Phillies are starting Ranger Suarez, and they are 92-62, putting them first in the NL East. The Mets are 85-69 and are 2nd in the division.

NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -109

This game will be played at Citi Field at 4:10 ET on Saturday, September 21st.

HOW TO BET THE PHILLIES VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 12-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 4th inning, scoring six of their twelve runs. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 1st. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -119.

Cristopher Sanchez only went five innings for the Phillies but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued five walks. On the other side, David Peterson was tagged for four homers and four runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Alec Bohm and J.T. Realmuto each homered for the Phillies, while Nick Castellanos went 3/5 with two RBIs. Johan Rojas also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs while scoring once.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is on the road today vs. the Mets with an overall record of 92-62, which has them leading the NL East by seven games. The Phillies are 28-19 against other teams in the NL East. Currently, they have won two straight games as the favorite. As the favorite overall, the Phillies are 79-45 this year.

The Phillies have gone 52-26 at home this season compared to 40-36 on the road. They are also 28-22 as the favorite on the road. Philadelphia is 25-17-7 in series this year, and they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Mets.

The Phillies have been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 75-79 record. They have been slightly better on the road, going 40-36 against the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +0.8, but they have been better at home, with a run line record of 35-43 and a scoring margin of +1.1 runs per game.

The Phillies are on the road against the Mets today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-74. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and they are 14-16 when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Overall, 72.1% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, and their current over streak is at 2 games.

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 12-7 to go along with an ERA of 3.13. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 25 starts, he has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, Suárez is averaging 8.71 strikeouts and just 2.26 walks. Looking back at his last outing, Suárez took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

So far this season, the Phillies are the 4th highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .259, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Overall, they are 9th in home runs, and their team on-base percentage of .327 is the 3rd best in the MLB.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 29 homers ranking 2nd on the team and Schwarber leading the Phillies with 35 home runs. Schwarber also comes into the game on a 5-game hitting streak. Alec Bohm has been a consistent hitter for the Phillies, batting .290 with 15 homers and 94 RBIs.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets host the Phillies today with an overall record of 85-69, which has them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 27-20 in divisional games this year. The Mets have been good at home, going 44-35, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in at 41-34.

So far, the Mets have dropped three straight games as the underdog, and they are 28-32 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, the Mets are 57-37 this year. New York’s overall series record is 27-15-8, and they are 1-1 in their series vs. the Phillies.

When betting the Mets on the run line this season, it has been better to do so on the road than at home. New York has gone 42-33 vs. the run line as the visitor compared to 36-43 at home. Overall, the Mets have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game, but that number jumps to +0.6 runs per game at home.

When the New York Mets play at home, the over has been a popular bet, with the over/under record sitting at 78-71. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5, the over has gone 20-16. Over the course of the season, 68.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5, and their current over streak is at four games.

Left-hander Sean Manaea gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies at home. He has made 30 starts this season and has a record of 11-5 with an ERA of 3.26. Manaea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08. In his 30 appearances, he has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 9.32 strikeouts per nine innings. Manaea’s last outing came on September 16th, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. He has not taken a loss since August 26th.

Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him at 31. Alonso’s 87 RBIs are also the best mark on the team, while Lindor is 2nd at 86. Lindor comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, while Jose Iglesias has been hot for a while now, going 17/41 in his last 10 games.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 8th best slugging percentage. Collectively, the Mets are batting .248, which is 8th in the MLB.