Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/18/24
The forecast for Wednesday’s Tigers vs. Royals game calls for temperatures in the mid-90s and clear skies. This one is getting started at 7:40 PM ET from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO. Detroit is 79-73, and the Royals are 82-70, putting them second in the AL Central.
The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Tigers are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -148 compared to the Royals at +126. Alec Marsh is starting for the Royals, and the Tigers are going with Tarik Skubal. Detroit has won three straight, and they are currently 4th in the AL Central. BSDET will be televising this game.
KANSAS CITY ROYALS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Kansas City Royals Moneyline +126
This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium at 7:40 ET on Wednesday, September 18th.
HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS ROYALS:
- We have the Royals winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Detroit rallied for two runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Royals series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 10th, picking up a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +138 on the money line.
Casey Mize started for the Tigers, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out three. Tyler Holton got the win out of the bullpen, and Jason Foley got the save. Cole Ragans put together a good outing for the Royals, giving up one earned run in seven innings of work.
Parker Meadows was the difference for the Tigers, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Kansas City’s only run came in the 3rd inning.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 79-73 overall and has won three straight games, and they are eight games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Tigers have gone 26-22 against other teams in the AL Central this year. Detroit’s three-game winning streak has come over the White Sox and Royals, and they have won the first two games of this series vs. the Royals.
As the road team today, the Tigers are 40-37 this season, and they are 39-36 at home. Detroit has won four straight games on the road, and they are 12-6 as the road favorite this year. The Tigers have been the favorite in 59 games, and they are 35-24 in those games. When they have been the underdog, Detroit is 44-49 this year. Their overall series record is 23-19-5, and they have won three straight series.
When betting the run line for the Detroit Tigers, it has been more profitable to take them on the road, where they have a 48-29 run line record. Their average run margin on the road is 0.5, which is higher than their overall average run margin of 0.2. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 60-33 against the run line as an underdog this season.
The Detroit Tigers are on the road against the Kansas City Royals today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8.2 runs per game. The Tigers have played 39 games with a 7.5 run over/under line this season, going over the total in 21 of those contests. Overall, the over/under record for Detroit this season is 75-73.
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Royals on the road. He has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 16-4 with an ERA of 2.50. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .94, and he has turned in 21 quality starts. Skubal most recently faced the Rockies, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Skubal has been much better at home this season, coming in with a record of 9-1 and an ERA of 2.15 compared to 7-3 with a 3.19 ERA on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also right around their season average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are hitting just .235, which is 16th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of just .299.
Riley Greene comes into the game as the Tigers’ leading home run hitter, with 23 homers this season. He also leads the team with 70 RBIs. However, Greene has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .217 over his last six games. Colt Keith is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .264 for the season with 13 homers.
Royals Records & Stats
Kansas City is five games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead as they host the Tigers today. The Royals overall are 82-70 but have dropped three straight games, and they have lost the first two games of this series vs. the Tigers. So far, they have gone 33-18 in AL Central play.
At home, the Royals are 45-32 this season compared to a 37-38 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Royals are 47-28 this year and 35-42 as the underdog. At home, they are 15-13 as the underdog, and their overall series record is 21-24-2.
The Royals have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 85-67 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 43-34 against the run line. Kansas City’s average run differential this season is +0.7 runs per game, and they have been a good bet as an underdog, going 46-31 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +4.0 runs per game, while their average run differential in losses is -3.3 runs per game.
The Royals have played in a high-scoring environment this season, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 67-80, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Royals have gone under the total in 14 of 18 games. Overall, 82.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Kansas City is sending Alec Marsh to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Pirates, he picked up the win and finished with 11 strikeouts. Marsh has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 8-8 with a 4.53 ERA. This year, opponents are batting .240 vs. Marsh. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.6 strikeouts and 2.67 walks. Looking back over his last four outings, Marsh has finished with a no-decision in three of them.
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .253, and their team on-base percentage of .310 is 11th in the league. Kansas City is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 28th in walks.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s best power threats this season, as his 32 homers are 10th in the league. He is also batting .331 overall and has gone 2/8 with two homers in his last eight games. Salvador Perez is right behind him in the home run department, with 27, and is batting .275 for the season. Perez has also gone 11/30 in his last eight games.