Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Pick & Prediction 9/22/24

The Falcons, who are the underdog with a +155 money line, will host the Chiefs at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The game is set for 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 22nd and will be televised on NBC. The Chiefs are favored with a -3.5 point spread, and the over/under line is at 46.5 points. The Chiefs need to add their record, and the Falcons need to add their record.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS VS ATLANTA FALCONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Falcons +3.5

This game will be played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 22nd.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA FALCONS:

• We have the Chiefs winning this one by a score of 25 to 24
• Even though we like the Chiefs to win, our ATS pick is to take the Falcons at +3.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 46.5 points

Will The Chiefs Win As Road Favorites?

Despite trailing for most of the game, the Chiefs pulled off a 26-25 comeback win over the Bengals, improving to 2-0 for the season. Kansas City had to fight back in the 4th quarter, as they were down 23-25 with 0:48 left in the game. This is a tough loss for the Bengals, as they were so close to pulling off the upset on the road.

The Chiefs’ defense held, giving the offense one last chance, and they took advantage, as Patrick Mahomes drove the Chiefs down the field, setting up a game-winning 33-yard field goal from Harrison Butker. The Chiefs were favored by -6.5 and won by one point, meaning they did not cover the spread. The over/under line heading into the game was 47.5 points.

In their 26-25 win over the Bengals, the Chiefs’ offense struggled on third down, converting just 12.5% of their chances. They finished with 19 first downs and 320 yards, with 149 coming on the ground and 171 through the air. Patrick Mahomes completed 18 of 25 passes for 151 yards, finishing with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

Isiah Pacheco led the Chiefs in rushing with 90 yards, averaging 4.7 yards per attempt, while Rashee Rice was the top receiver with 75 yards and a touchdown. Mahomes also ran for 29 yards.

In their 26-25 win over the Bengals, the Chiefs’ defense allowed 246 passing yards on 23 completions. The Bengals finished with 320 total yards, with just 74 yards coming on the ground from 22 attempts. Kansas City’s defense recorded three sacks and limited Cincinnati to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.

The Chiefs gave up two passing touchdowns in the game, and opposing quarterbacks completed 63.9% of their passes against them. Despite this, the Chiefs came out on top in the QB hit differential (3) and the tackles for loss differential (1).

Are The Falcons Going Win In At Upset At Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Heading into their week two matchup against the Eagles, the Falcons were coming off a 32-6 loss to the Eagles. Atlanta was able to bounce back and pull off a 22-21 win, giving them a 1-1 record. The Falcons were +5.5 point underdogs on the road and their win came by just a single point. The combined 43 points was below the over/under line of 46.5 points.

After a scoreless 1st quarter, Atlanta took a 3-0 lead with 11:27 left in the 2nd quarter. The Eagles answered to take a 7-3 lead, but the Falcons added a field goal before halftime to make it 7-6 in favor of Philadelphia. In the 3rd quarter, Atlanta took a 9-7 lead on a field goal and later added a touchdown with 1:29 left in the 3rd quarter, as Kirk Cousins found Darnell Mooney for a 55-yard touchdown. Although the Eagles took a 21-18 lead with 1:42 left in the 4th, the Falcons responded with a touchdown of their own with 38 seconds left, as Kirk Cousins found Drake London for a 17-yard score.

Atlanta’s offense put up 22 first downs and 233 passing yards in their 22-21 win over the Eagles. The Falcons ran for 152 yards on 28 attempts, averaging 5.4 yards per attempt. Kirk Cousins, who threw for 241 yards and completed 69% of his passes, led the team. He threw two touchdowns and was not intercepted.

Bijan Robinson was the top rusher with 97 yards and added 25 receiving yards. Darnell Mooney caught 88 yards and a touchdown, with a long reception of 41 yards. The Falcons struggled on third down, converting only 22.2% of their chances.

Despite giving up 186 rushing yards on 37 attempts, the Falcons’ defense played well in their 22-21 win over the Eagles. They allowed just 179 passing yards and held Philadelphia to 1-of-2 in the red zone. Atlanta’s defense also came up with a key interception in the game.

Even though the Eagles had success running the ball, the Falcons’ pass defense was solid, allowing just 76.7% completions. They also had one interception and one sack in the game. Atlanta’s defense held the Eagles to a 46.2% third-down conversion rate.