Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24

Cleveland comes into this AL matchup vs. the Rays looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Rays have won two in a row and are 4th in the AL East with a record of 73-75. The Guardians are 1st in the AL Central and are 84-64 overall. The money line odds have the Guardians at -131, while the odds for a Rays win are sitting at +110. First pitch from Progressive Field is set for 6:10 PM ET.
The over/under line for Saturday’s game is at 8.5 runs, and the forecast from Cleveland calls for clear skies and temperatures in the low 80s. BSSUN is carrying this one on TV.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -131
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 6:10 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay picked up a 3-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Rays offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a win thanks to a good outing from Zack Littell, who went six innings and didn’t give up a run.
Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Guardians could only muster one more run in the 8th inning. As for the Rays, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and added an insurance run in the 9th.
Jose Siri was the only player in the Rays lineup to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4 with an RBI. Jhonkensy Noel had a two-hit game for the Guardians.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 73-75 overall and trails the Yankees by 13 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 19-24 against other AL East teams. The Rays have picked up two straight wins, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Rays are 37-38 this year and have gone 36-37 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 38-45 this year, and they are 35-30 when favored. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the underdog, and their overall series record is 22-19-6 this year.
The Rays have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 43-30 against the run line away from Tropicana Field. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and have been a strong bet as underdogs, going 53-30 against the run line in those games.
The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Cleveland Guardians, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 65-75. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-17. Overall, 68.9% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at three games.
Right-hander Drew Rasmussen is getting the start for the Rays today and comes in with a record of 0-1 and ERA of 2.79. He has made three starts and 11 appearances this season. Rasmussen most recently pitched on September 11th, where he took the loss out of the bullpen, going 1 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on two hits. In that outing, he gave up a home run. Before that, he had put together three straight appearances without giving up a run. Rasmussen’s ERA at home is 7.2 compared to 0.9 on the road.
Yandy Diaz has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Rays, going 9/21 in his last six games. This has helped him move into the team lead with a batting average of .284. He also leads the Rays with 65 RBIs and is on a five-game hitting streak. Christopher Morel has struggled this season, batting just .198, but his 21 homers are the most on the team.
As a team, the Rays are 28th in the MLB in scoring at 3.8 runs per game. They have also struggled in terms of power, as their 136 homers are 24th in the league. Overall, they are batting just .231 and have the 23rd ranked slugging percentage in the league.
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland is hosting the Rays today with an overall record of 84-64, and they lead the AL Central by three games over the Royals. The Guardians have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of this series vs. the Rays. So far, they have gone 27-21 against other teams in the AL Central.
At home, the Guardians are 43-27 this season, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in at 41-37. As the favorite, Cleveland has gone 59-32 this year, and they are 25-32 when listed as the underdog. This season, the Guardians’ overall record as the home favorite is 38-20.
The Guardians have a 33-37 run line record at home this season, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. They are 74-74 overall on the run line this season, with an average run margin of 0.5 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 41 of 78 road games this season, with an average run margin of 0.4 runs per game.
The Cleveland Guardians are home today against the Tampa Bay Rays, and the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for Guardians games this season is 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 66-71. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 20-20. Overall, 53.4% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs. The under has hit in their last two games.
Joey Cantillo gets the start for the Guardians today and is coming off a strong outing against the White Sox. In that September 9th start, he went seven innings, picking up the win and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Cantillo has made five starts and one of them was a quality start. His record for the season is 1-3, and he has an ERA of 5.96 to go along with a WHIP of 1.25. For the year, Cantillo has given up six homers and is averaging 8.77 strikeouts per nine innings.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 34 home runs are 8th in the MLB and lead the Guardians. He also has 106 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Ramirez comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in home runs, as his 29 long balls are 13th in the league. Naylor is batting .242 this season.
Over his last five games, Lane Thomas has gone 7/21 with three runs batted in. Austin Hedges and Bo Naylor have both homered in their last two games, with Hedges going 1/3 and Naylor going 3/12 in his last four games. As a team, the Guardians are batting .238, which is 16th in the league, and averaging 4.5 runs per game.