New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24
Jose Quintana will start for the Mets on Friday, and he will be facing off against Aaron Nola and the Phillies. This one gets started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. NSPPH is carrying the Phillies on the money line, and they are favored at -163 compared to the Mets at +138. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
The Phillies are currently on a three-game winning streak, and they will look to make it four in a row vs. the Mets, who are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 80-66. New York has won four of their last five games. The money line odds have the Phillies at -163, while the Mets are the slight underdog at +138. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
NEW YORK METS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline +138
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, September 13th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Mets Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Blue Jays, the Mets closed out the series with a 6-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -135 on the money line. It was a big 6th inning that turned things in their favor, as the Mets scored six runs in the inning. New York’s offense was carried by Francisco Alvarez, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up just one run on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out eight Blue Jays batters. The Mets’s bullpen closed things out with Edwin Diaz picking up the save.
The Mets are 80-66 overall, putting them eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. New York is 2nd in the NL East and has gone 22-17 in divisional games. They have yet to play the Phillies this season and are on a five-series winning streak.
At home, the Mets are 40-34 this season, and they are 40-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 53-37, and they are 27-29 as the underdog. New York has won eight of their last ten games, and they took two of three from the Blue Jays in their most recent series.
When the Mets are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-32, which is a winning percentage of 55.6%. Their average run differential in road games is +0.4 runs per game. In games they have won, their average run differential is +3.6 runs per game. In games they have lost, their average run differential is -3.5 runs per game.
The Mets are on the road today against the Phillies, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average in Mets games this season is 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 72-69. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 25-19. Overall, 35 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 24.0% of their games this season.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 8-9 with an ERA of 4.09. Quintana’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.31. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Quintana’s ERA on the road is 5.26, and he has a record of 4-4 away from home. The last time he pitched, Quintana didn’t give up a run, picking up the win vs. the Reds. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have both been big run producers for the Mets this season, as they are tied for the team lead with 31 homers and are 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs, respectively. Lindor comes into the game with a batting average of .268, while Alonso is batting just .238. Mark Vientos has also been a nice surprise for the Mets, as he is batting .276 and has gone deep 24 times.
Jose Iglesias has been one of the Mets’ hottest hitters of late, going 7/18 in his last six games. However, he has just one RBI during this stretch. Mark Vientos has struggled recently, going just 3/21 in his last six games.
Phillies Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rays, the Phillies closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -230. Offensively, the Phillies scored their three runs on only five hits and didn’t have a big inning. Nick Castellanos went 1/2 with a homer and two RBIs.
Zack Wheeler started for the Phillies, going six innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
With an overall record of 88-58, the Phillies lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies will take on the Mets at home today, and they have been playing well, having won three straight games. Philadelphia closed out their series vs. the Rays with three straight wins.
At home, the Phillies are 50-25 this season, and they have gone 38-33 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 75-43 this season and 13-15 as the underdog. Philadelphia has been tough to beat at home this year, as they are 49-22 as the home favorite. Heading into today’s game, the Phillies have an overall series record of 26-15-6.
Despite being a sub-.500 team against the run line this season, the Phillies have been a solid bet at home, going 34-41. They have an average run margin of 1.2 runs per game at home, compared to 0.5 on the road. Philadelphia has been favored in 118 games this season, going 56-62 against the run line.
The Philadelphia Phillies have an over/under record of 68-71 this season, with an average combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-14. Overall, 42 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 28.8% of their games. The average over/under line for their games this season has been set at 8 runs, with 75 games having lines set below 8.5 runs (51.4%).
Right-hander Aaron Nola is on the mound for the Phillies today as he faces the Mets at home. Nola has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-7 with a 3.41 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Nola has a WHIP of 1.18 and opponents are batting .239 this season. In his 29 starts, Nola has one complete game shutout and 18 quality starts. Nola’s most recent outing came on September 7th, where he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with a 3.23 ERA compared to 4.71 on the road.
So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the majors. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .259. Philadelphia also comes into the game with a strong on-base percentage of .328 and have the 4th best OPS in the MLB.
Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Schwarber’s 35 homers lead the team and is 7th in the league, while Harper’s 26 homers are 14th in the MLB. Harper has also been hot of late, going 8/20 in his last five games. Alec Bohm has been a strong run producer for the Phillies, as his 89 RBIs are 2nd on the team and 12th in the league.