Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/13/24

Friday’s matchup between the Marlins and Nationals gets started at 6:45 PM ET from Nationals Park in Washington, DC. The money line odds have the Nationals at -148 compared to the Marlins at +125. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs.

Edward Cabrera is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against DJ Herz. Miami is 55-92 this season, while the Nationals are 65-81. Washington is favored, and a win would move them into 4th place in the NL East. MASN will carry this game on TV.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline -148

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, September 13th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Miami picked up a 6-3 road win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a big 8th inning, scoring three runs to break a 3-3 tie. As for the Nationals, they scored all three of their runs in the 1st inning but couldn’t get anything else across.

Darren McCaughan got the start for the Marlins, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out one. Anthony Bender got the win out of the bullpen, and Jesus Tinoco got the save. Mitchell Parker put together a good outing for the Nationals, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up no runs on three hits.

Jake Burger was the Marlins’ top hitter, going 3/4 with two RBIs. Xavier Edwards also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Miami’s offense.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is 5th in the NL East with a record of 55-92, putting them 33.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins have gone just 17-29 in divisional games this year. So far, they have gone 28-47 at home compared to 27-45 on the road.

So far, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-14 this year. As the underdog, they are 51-78. Miami’s overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are currently winning their series vs. the Nationals.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Marlins, it’s best to take them as the underdog. They are 67-62 against the run line in those games, compared to just 2-16 when they are the favorite. Their overall run line record is 69-78, but they have been slightly better on the road, going 37-35. Their average run margin is -1.3 runs per game, and they have been outscored by 1.0 runs per game on the road and 1.7 runs per game at home.

The Miami Marlins have played in 79 games with over/under lines set at 8 runs this season, going 17-11-2 in those contests. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and they have an over/under record of 79-63 overall. The Marlins are on the road against the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs.

Miami is sending right-hander Edward Cabrera to the mound today vs. the Nationals. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with an ERA of 4.88. Cabrera’s WHIP for the season is 1.40, and opponents are batting .223 this year. In his 17 starts, Cabrera has turned in four quality starts. The most recent of those came on September 8th, when he pitched seven scoreless innings vs. the Phillies. In that outing, he gave up just three hits and one walk. Cabrera has won two straight starts. Before that, he had lost three straight.

The Marlins offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.8 runs per game (29th). They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 24th in home runs and have a collective batting average of .241. Miami’s team on-base percentage of .297 is 23rd in the league.

Jake Burger has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 25 home runs is 15th in the league. Burger is also 1st on the team with 61 RBIs. However, he is batting just .244. Jesus Sanchez is also near the top of the team’s home run and RBI leaderboards, batting .246 with 17 homers and 59 RBIs. Otto Lopez has been hot of late, batting .344 over his last eight games.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 65-81 overall this season, and they are 4th in the NL East, 23 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far, they have gone 20-23 in divisional games. The Nationals will take on the Marlins today, and they are 33.5 games behind the Marlins for 3rd place in the division.

At home, the Nationals are 33-39 this year compared to a 32-42 mark on the road. As the favorite, the Nationals are 12-13 this year, and they are 53-68 as the underdog. Washington’s overall series record is 17-23-6, and they are losing the series vs. the Marlins 0-1.

Washington has been a strong bet against the run line this season, as they have covered in 81 of their 146 games. They have been especially good on the road, going 43-31 against the run line. They have been a good bet when they are the underdog, going 70-51 against the run line. They have a run differential of -0.6 runs per game this season.

The Washington Nationals have an over/under record of 70-70 this season, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-9-1. Overall, 67.8% of their games have had lines set higher than 8 runs, while 18.5% have been set lower.

Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Marlins, and he comes into the game with a record of 3-7 and an ERA of 3.82. Herz has made 16 starts this year and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 4.43. In his last outing, Herz picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .214 off Herz this season.

Coming into the game, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. This includes averaging 4.3 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league, and have been very good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 5th in the league in this category. Washington’s offense is led by CJ Abrams, who has 20 homers this season and is batting .239.

Over his last five games, Abrams has gone 5/19 with two homers and four runs scored. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .281 this season and has 15 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team. He is also 2nd on the Nationals with 63 RBIs.