Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24
At 7:10 PM ET, the Angels and Twins face off in an AL matchup. This one is being played at Target Field in Minneapolis and has the Twins as heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -203 compared to the Angels at +171. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Jack Kochanowicz will be starting for the Angels, and they are 60-85 overall and 5th in the AL West. The Twins are starting Zebby Matthews and are 3rd in the AL Central with a record of 77-68.
LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS MINNESOTA TWINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs
This game will be played at Target Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.
HOW TO BET THE ANGELS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Angels to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
It was all Minnesota in the last game of this series, as the Twins took down the Angels by a score of 10-5. The Twins offense only had three more hits than the Angels and struck out five more times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -269 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Pablo López for the Twins and Griffin Canning for the Angels. López only went seven innings but didn’t give up a hit or a run and finished with 10 strikeouts. On the other side, Canning was tagged for nine runs in just 5 2/3 innings of work.
Minnesota’s two, three, and four hitters did the most damage, as Kyle Farmer, Matt Wallner, and Carlos Santana each homered and combined for eight RBIs. Ryan Jeffers also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Angels Records & Stats
Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Twins, the Angels are 60-85, putting them 5th in the AL West. They trail the Astros by 17.5 games in the division and are 17.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot. So far, they have gone 20-22 in divisional games.
Los Angeles has struggled at home this year, going 30-42, and they are just below .500 at 30-43 on the road. The Angels have really struggled as the favorite this year, going just 6-15, but they are 54-70 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 13-30-3.
When it comes to the run line, the Angels have been a solid bet this season, going 75-70. They are 38-35 vs. the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of -0.8 runs per game. They are 70-54 vs. the run line as an underdog this season.
The Angels are on the road against the Twins today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Their combined run average is 8.8, and their over/under record for the season is 69-70. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 30-25. Overall, 33.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.
Right-hander Jack Kochanowicz gets the start for the Angels today as he faces the Twins on the road. He has made five quality starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 4.89. Kochanowicz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.42. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .307 off Kochanowicz this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging just 2.79 strikeouts compared to 1.86 walks.
Heading into today’s game, the Angels are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. Their team batting average of .229 is also one of the worst marks in the league. However, they do have two hitters with over 20 homers this season, with Zach Neto’s 21 homers being the 2nd most in the league, and Taylor Ward’s 22 homers leading the team.
Over his last 10 games, Taylor Ward has been on fire, going 14/37 (.378) with four homers and six RBIs. During this stretch, he has scored 10 runs. Ward is also currently on a five-game hitting streak. Zach Neto is also swinging a good bat right now, as he has gone deep three times in his last 10 games and is batting .258 for the season.
Twins Records & Stats
Minnesota is 77-68 overall and trails the Guardians by six games in the AL Central. So far, they have gone 28-20 against other teams in the division. The Twins are 40-31 at home this season and have an even 37-37 mark on the road.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 61-39 this year, and they are 33-24 as the favorite at home. Minnesota’s overall series record is 25-17-4, and they are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
Minnesota has been a solid run line bet this season, going 67-78 overall. They have been especially profitable on the road, going 37-37, while they are just 30-41 against the run line at home. Their overall run differential is +0.3 runs per game, with their average margin of victory at +3.7 runs per game and their average margin of defeat at -3.6 runs per game.
Minnesota has played to the over in 72 of their 139 games this season, with an average combined run total of 9.1. When the O/U line is set at 8.5, they have gone over 21 times and under 22 times.
Zebby Matthews will be making his 4th start of the season for the Twins, and he will be looking to pick up his first win. Matthews has taken the loss in each of his first 3 outings. He has gone 5 innings in each of his starts, and his last time out, he gave up 4 earned runs on 9 hits.
Carlos Santana, Ryan Jeffers, and Willi Castro are the Twins’ top home run hitters this season, but all three players are batting under .250 for the year. Santana has gone deep 21 times, which is the best mark on the team, while Jeffers has 20 homers and Castro has 11. Santana has gone 3/30 in his last nine games, but all three of his hits have been home runs. Kyle Farmer has also hit three homers in his last nine games while going 7/16.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better home team this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the MLB.