Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24
Wednesday’s matchup between the Orioles and Red Sox has a first pitch set for 7:10 PM ET from Fenway Park in Boston. The Orioles are 83-63 and their money line odds are +104 compared to the Red Sox at -124. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
Forecasted to be 78 degrees with a few clouds in the sky, Dean Kremer will start for the Orioles, while Nick Pivetta goes for the Red Sox. Boston is 3rd in the AL East, while the Orioles are 2nd. MASN will be televising this game.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline +104
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.
HOW TO BET THE ORIOLES VS RED SOX:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Baltimore picked up a 5-3 road win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead after the 1st inning and added two more in the 3rd. As for the Red Sox, they scored their first run in the 4th and added two more in the 8th.
Albert Suarez started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Kutter Crawford got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work.
Cedric Mullins hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Adley Rutschman also had a two-hit game for Baltimore. As for the Red Sox, Connor Wong went 2/4 with two doubles and an RBI.
Orioles Records & Stats
The Orioles are 83-63 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game for the AL East lead. They will be on the road today to take on the Red Sox, and Boston is 10 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far, the Orioles have gone 30-18 in divisional games.
Baltimore has an overall series record of 24-14-7 this season, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. At home, the Orioles are 42-33 compared to a 41-30 mark on the road. As the favorite, Baltimore has gone 67-47 this year and 16-16 as the underdog.
The Orioles are a team that has been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they have covered the run line in 79 of their 146 games. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 43-28, compared to 36-39 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.6 runs per game, but that number is higher on the road at +0.8 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The Orioles have a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 78-57. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 15-14-4. So far this season, 68.5% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs.
Dean Kremer gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.27. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, Kremer picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. Looking back over his last four outings, he has allowed two homers in each of his last three starts. Kremer has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.54 strikeouts per nine innings.
Over the past 10 games, Cedric Mullins and Gunnar Henderson have been on fire for the Orioles. Mullins is hitting .406 in that span with four homers, while Henderson has gone 15/40 with three homers. Henderson has also driven in seven runs in that span. Henderson is currently 6th in the league with 36 homers and is batting .282 for the season.
As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the MLB’s best isolated power figure. Overall, they are 4th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Baltimore has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston is 73-72 overall and trails the Yankees by 10 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 3rd place in the division and have gone just 19-19 against other AL East teams. The Red Sox are just 34-40 at home this year.
The Red Sox have been a bit better on the road, going 39-32. So far, they have been the favorite in 73 of their games, going 40-33 in those matchups. As the underdog, Boston is 33-39 this year. Their overall series record is 22-17-6, and they are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Orioles. Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox have gone just 3-7 over their last 10.
When the Red Sox win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Overall, Boston has played to an even run differential on the season, and their run line record is 67-78. They have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 40-31 compared to 27-47 at home.
When the Boston Red Sox are at home this season, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 74-64. When the line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 8-5-3. Overall, 30.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, while 58.6% have had lines set below 9 runs.
Right-hander Nick Pivetta gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles at home. Pivetta has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 5-10 with an ERA of 4.38. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Pivetta’s last outing came against the White Sox, where he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in four straight outings. Pivetta has allowed a total of 24 home runs this season.
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 8th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 7th in the MLB.
Over his last six games, Tyler O’Neill has gone 7/22 (.318) with four homers and six RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 29 homers. O’Neill is also 4th on the team with 56 RBIs. Jarren Duran is batting .288 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 21 homers.