Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24

Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Rays and Phillies has a first pitch of 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -204 compared to the Rays at +172. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs.

Shane Baz will start for the Rays, and he is facing off against Zack Wheeler. Tampa Bay is 71-74 this season, while the Phillies are 87-58 and have won two straight. Philadelphia leads the NL East, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East. BSSUN is carrying this one on TV.

TAMPA BAY RAYS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.

HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Philadelphia cruised to a 9-4 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -181 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez got the start for the Phillies, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out two. He did not factor into the decision. Jose Alvarado got the win out of the bullpen. Richard Lovelady took the loss for the Rays out of the bullpen.

Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber each homered for the Phillies, while Bryce Harper went 4/5 with three runs scored. Cal Stevenson also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Rays Records & Stats

The Rays are two games below .500 at 71-74, and they trail the Yankees by 12 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division, two games behind the Red Sox for the 3rd spot in the AL East. So far, they have gone 19-24 against other teams in the AL East.

At home, the Rays are 37-38 this year and 34-36 on the road. As the underdog, the Rays are 36-44 this year, and they are 35-30 when favored. Tampa Bay has dropped two straight games, and they are just 4-6 across their last ten.

When the Rays are on the road, they have a run line record of 40-30. Their average run margin is -0.4 for the season, and they have a run line record of 74-71. In their wins, they have an average run margin of 2.8, while in their losses, their average run margin is -3.5. As the underdog, they are 50-30 on the run line, while as the favorite, they are 24-41.

The Tampa Bay Rays are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The O/U line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. The Rays have an over/under record of 65-72 on the season, and when the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 23-25. Overall, 57.2% of their games this season have had higher O/U lines than 7.5 runs.

Right-hander Shane Baz gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.27 ERA. Baz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.24. In his 10 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a rough outing against the Orioles, where he took the loss. In that game, Baz went six innings and gave up two earned runs on three walks and a homer. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.

Yandy Diaz has been one of the few bright spots in the Rays lineup this season, as he is batting .280 and has gone 10/25 in his last six games. Over this stretch, he has hit two home runs and has six RBIs. Jonny DeLuca has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/31 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. So far, they have been a better road team in terms of scoring runs, averaging 3.9 runs per game.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia has an overall record of 87-58, and they lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets. The Phillies have taken two straight games and are favored to win today’s game, as they are 74-43 as the favorite this year. At home, the Phillies are 49-25, and they have won four straight at home.

So far, the Phillies are 25-17 against other teams in the NL East. They have an overall series record of 25-16-7, and they are 8-2 across their last 10 games overall.

The Phillies are 71-74 against the run line this season, including a 34-40 mark at home. They have a run differential of +0.8 runs per game overall, +0.5 on the road and +1.2 at home. They have covered the run line in 37 of 71 games on the road. They are 56-61 against the run line as the favorite and 15-13 as the underdog. They have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite.

Today’s game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Tampa Bay Rays features an over/under line of 7.5 runs. This season, the Phillies have played in 106 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 73.1% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 68-70 overall.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Rays at home. Wheeler has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 14-6 with an ERA of 2.59. Coming into the game, he has a WHIP of .96 and has turned in 22 quality starts. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 2.53, and he has a record of 9-3 at home. In his last outing, Wheeler gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight outings.

Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the top offenses in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Phillies have a team batting average of .260, which is 4th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging.

Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear for the Phillies, hitting seven home runs over his last eight games while batting .452 over that stretch. Schwarber’s 35 homers this season is 7th best in the league, and his 95 RBIs is the best mark on the team and 9th in the MLB. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also having strong seasons, with Harper batting .291 with 26 homers and Bohm hitting .290 with 13 homers.