Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/11/24
At 6:45 PM ET, the Braves and Nationals square off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Nationals Park in Washington, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -172 compared to the Nationals at +145. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.
Max Fried will go for the Braves, while the Nationals are starting Jake Irvin. The Braves are 79-66 this season, while the Nationals are 64-80. Washington is currently on a two-game losing streak. MASN will be televising this game.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +145
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Wednesday, September 11th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Nationals series came right after the All-Star break. Atlanta cruised to a 12-0 win in the last game, as the Nationals offense could only muster three hits. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -144 on the money line.
Reynaldo Lopez only went one inning for the Braves but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. Jesse Chavez got the win out of the bullpen. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up two earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Michael Harris II was the difference for the Braves, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with two RBIs. Sean Murphy and Ramon Laureano each had three RBIs. Orlando Arcia and Matt Olson also had two RBIs apiece.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 79-66, the Braves are eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 24-21 against other NL East teams. The Braves picked up a game on the Mets in the division and are currently tied with them, with an eight-game deficit in the division.
Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-16-5 this year, and they are 28-21 as the road favorite. As for their overall record at home, the Braves have gone 40-31. So far, they have been the favorite in most of their games, as they are 67-50 in those matchups.
When the Braves are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line at 40-34, and they have done so in two straight games. They have an average run margin of 1.1 runs per game on the road, and their overall run line record is 69-76. They are 17-11 against the run line as underdogs and 52-65 as favorites. Their average run margin in games they win is 3.6 runs, while in losses it is -3.2 runs.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the Washington Nationals. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Braves have played in 105 games this season with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which is 72.4% of their games. Their combined run average is 8.1 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 53-87.
Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Blue Jays, he picked up the win. Looking back over his last four outings, Fried has given up three earned runs in three of them. Fried’s record for the season is 9-8, and he has an ERA of 3.35. This year, opponents are batting .223 vs. Fried. He has made 25 starts, two of which were complete games, and has one shutout. For the season, Fried has 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.41 strikeouts and 3.11 walks.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 37 home runs are 5th in the MLB and leads the Braves. He is also 7th in the league with 98 RBIs. Ozuna has also been very good at the plate, hitting .305 for the season. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but has a batting average of just .237.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game and are 4th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Currently, Ronald Acuña Jr. is on a four-game hitting streak.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 64-80 overall, and they are 22.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Nationals have gone 19-22 in divisional games this year and are 4th in the division. They will take on the Braves today, having lost two straight games, and they trail the Braves by 8.0 games for the 2nd wild card spot.
At home, the Nationals are 32-38 this year, and they are just below .500 at 32-42 on the road. Washington has dropped four straight home games, and they are 24-30 as the home underdog this year. So far, they have an even 12-12 record as the favorite this year.
The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 80-64 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 43-31. The Nats have been a run line underdog in most games this season, going 69-51 in those contests. They have been a run line favorite in just 24 games, going 11-13 in those matchups. Washington’s average run margin for the season is -0.6 runs per game.
Washington’s games have trended toward the over this season, with a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game. Their over/under record is 70-69, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. When the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit at a 16-9 clip. The over has hit in three straight games for the Nationals.
Washington is sending Jake Irvin to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes into the game with a record of 9-12 and an ERA of 4.28. In his 29 starts, Irvin has pitched 166 innings and has a WHIP of 1.21. Looking back at his last outing, Irvin took the loss vs. the Pirates, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. He has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts. Against the Braves on August 24th, Irvin gave up one homer and three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game this season, which is 21st in the league. They have been a bit better on the road (4.3 RPG) than at home (4.1 RPG). As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and are 5th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. The Nationals have struggled in the power department, as their 120 home runs is 25th in the MLB.
Over the team’s last five games, Andrés Chaparro has gone 6/19 with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, CJ Abrams is the team’s leader in homers (19) but is batting just .237. Luis Garcia Jr. is batting .284 this season and is 2nd on the team with 63 RBIs.