Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/10/24
At 6:40 PM ET, the Phillies and Rays square off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, and the Phillies are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -167. The money line odds for a Rays win are at +142, and the over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
Taj Bradley will start for the Rays, while the Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the mound. The Rays are 71-73 this season, while the Phillies are 86-58 and are leading the NL East. The Phillies will be looking to extend their three-game win streak, while the Rays are 2-3 in their last five.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -167
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, September 10th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Philadelphia picked up a 2-1 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late rally, scoring one run in the 6th and another in the 9th. As for the Rays, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -199 on the money line.
Cristopher Sanchez started for the Phillies and went six innings while giving up just four hits and no earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued one walk. Garrett Cleavinger took the loss. As for the Rays, Cole Sulser only went one inning and gave up two runs on two hits.
Kyle Schwarber was the difference for the Phillies, as he homered twice and scored both of their runs. Brandon Lowe hit a home run for the Rays, going 1/1 with three walks.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are 71-73 overall, which puts them 4th in the AL East, 12 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have gone just 19-24 in AL East matchups. The Rays will be on the road today, facing the Phillies and are 37-38 at home and 34-35 on the road this season.
As the road underdog, the Rays have gone 23-24 this season, and they are 36-43 overall as the underdog. Tampa Bay has been slightly better as the favorite, going 35-30 this year. Their overall series record is 22-18-6, and they are currently losing this series vs. the Phillies.
Despite an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game, the Tampa Bay Rays have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, posting a record of 74-70. The Rays have been particularly strong on the run line on the road, going 40-29, and have covered the run line in their last three road games. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 50-29 on the run line this season.
The Rays have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game. Their over/under record is 64-72, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 22-25. Overall, 57.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. Currently, they are on a 2-game under streak.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 6-10 with an ERA of 4.40. Bradley’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Bradley took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .232 off Bradley this season.
Yandy Diaz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/20 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .281, which is the best mark in the Rays lineup. He also leads the team with 64 RBIs. Christopher Morel and Jose Siri are tied for 2nd in homers, but both have struggled with their batting averages, coming in at .196 and .186, respectively.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, team batting average, and slugging percentage. Tampa Bay does have a good team walk rate and has been decent at putting the ball in play, as their BABIP is 13th in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 86-58, the Phillies lead the Mets by seven games for the NL East lead. The Phillies are 25-17 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 48-25 this year and 38-33 on the road.
Philadelphia has been really good as the favorite this year, going 73-43. As the underdog, the Phillies are 13-15 this year. Currently, the Phillies have won three straight games at home, and their overall series record is 25-16-7.
Philadelphia has been a solid play on the run line this season, going 70-74 overall. The Phillies have been a better bet on the run line on the road, where they are 37-34, compared to at home, where they are 33-40. They have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game this season.
When the Phillies are at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average over/under line for the season. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.9 runs, and their over/under record is 67-70. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 12-14. Overall, 73.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes into the game with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 2.90. So far this season, he has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .219 off the left-hander. Suárez has one complete game shutout this year and has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Suárez has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.79 ERA compared to 3.57 at home.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. The Phillies are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are 7th in home runs and have the 3rd best BABIP in the league.
Kyle Schwarber has been red hot for the Phillies of late, going 13/30 in his last seven games with six homers and 12 RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead with 34 homers and 94 RBIs, which is 7th best in the MLB. Schwarber is also on an eight-game hitting streak. Bryce Harper is also swinging a hot bat, as he is batting .285 for the season and has gone deep 26 times.