Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24
Max Fried and the Braves (76-64) will look to keep their winning streak alive, as they have won three in a row and are 3rd in the NL East. They are facing a Blue Jays club that is 5th in the AL East with a record of 67-74. Kevin Gausman is starting for the Blue Jays.
Atlanta is the heavy favorite at -178 on the money line, while the Blue Jays’ odds sit at +150. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and this one can be seen on BSSE.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -178
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Friday, September 6th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Blue Jays Records & Stats
The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 4-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Toronto was the +109 underdog at home going into the game.
Bowden Francis put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just three earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Blue Jays couldnjson’t close things out, and Francis took the loss. Toronto’s offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning and didn’t have a hit after the 2nd.
Toronto is 67-74 overall and trails the Orioles by 14 games in the AL East. The Blue Jays have dropped three straight games and are 5th in the AL East, 14 games behind the Orioles. So far, they are 20-26 against other teams in the AL East.
As the road team today, the Blue Jays are 33-39 compared to 34-35 at home. Toronto has dropped two straight games as the road underdog and they are 20-32 in this scenario this year. They are also 26-46 as the underdog overall and 41-28 when favored. The Blue Jays lost the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies.
The Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 46-26. They have covered the run line in two straight games and have an average run margin of -0.1 away from home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 40-32, compared to 31-38 as the favorite.
When the Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 74-64. When the line is set at 8 runs, the Blue Jays have gone over 23 times, under 14 times, and pushed once. Overall, 49.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 27 starts and has a record of 12-10. Gausman’s ERA is 4.07, along with a WHIP of 1.23. In his 27 appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Gausman has finished with a record of 7-4 on the road and has an ERA of 4.6 in those outings. At home, his ERA is 6.58, and he is 5-6.
After hitting just .242 as a team this season, the Blue Jays will be looking for their offense to continue to build on the momentum they have built up over the last week, as they have the league’s 8th ranked scoring offense during that stretch. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been leading the way for the Blue Jays, as he comes into the game with a team-high 28 home runs and is batting .328 for the season. Over his last seven games, Guerrero Jr. has gone 13/30.
George Springer is 2nd on the team with 19 homers, but he is batting just .219 for the season. Toronto’s offense has been led by Guerrero Jr. and Springer in terms of RBIs, as Guerrero Jr. is 8th in the league with 92 RBIs, and Springer is 3rd on the team with 55. Daulton Varsho has three homers in his last seven games but is batting just .207 during that stretch.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rockies with a 3-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Rockies scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Atlanta was the -280 favorite at home going into the game.
Reynaldo Lopez was excellent for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just two hits and no runs. He also finished with 11 K’s and issued only two walks. However, the Braves couldn’t close things out, and Lopez took the loss. Marcell Ozuna was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Atlanta is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 76-64, which has them eight games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves are in 3rd place in the NL East but are tied with the Mets for 2nd place in the division. So far, they are 23-21 in divisional games.
At home, the Braves are 38-29 this season and have gone 38-35 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have been good this year, putting up a mark of 64-48. When they are the underdog, the Braves are 12-16 this year. Atlanta’s overall series record is 25-16-5, and they won their most recent series vs. the Rockies.
When the Braves win, they tend to do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. This has helped them to a run line record of 67-73, including a 28-39 mark at home. Their overall run differential is +0.5 runs per game, but that number is slightly negative at home (-0.0). As the favorite, the Braves have gone 50-62 against the run line, while they are 17-11 as the underdog.
The Braves are 8-15-1 when the over/under line is set at 8 runs this season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per contest. Atlanta has gone under the total in five straight games and has an over/under record of 51-84 overall. The Braves have had 80 games with over/under lines set above 8 runs, accounting for 57.1% of their contests this year.
Max Fried is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Phillies, as he gets the start for the Braves today. In that August 31st start, he took the loss, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. Fried was tagged for two homers in that outing. Looking back further, he has given up at least one homer in three of his last four starts. Fried’s record for the season is 8-8, and his ERA is 3.52. Opponents are batting .226 off the left-hander this season. Fried has made 24 starts, and his WHIP for the season is 1.21.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.6 runs per game. One area where the Braves have been strong is in the power department, as their 181 home runs is the 4th best mark in the league. Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna are the team’s top home run hitters, with Olson batting just .231 this season.
Marcell Ozuna comes into the game with a team-high 37 home runs and a batting average of .307. He is also 5th in the league with 98 RBIs. Ozuna is also on a four-game hitting streak. Over his last seven games, Olson has two home runs and is 6/26 (.231).