Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24

The Lions are favored on the money line at -182 as they get set to host the Rams in week one. The game is being televised on NBC, with the Rams and Lions kicking off at 8:20 ET. The Rams are +3.5 point underdogs on the road, and the over/under line is set at 51 points.

LOS ANGELES RAMS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Lions -3.5

This game will be played at Ford Field at 8:20 ET on Sunday, September 8th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:

• We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 32 to 25
• Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 51 points

Will The Rams Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

The Rams’ ATS record was 11-6-1 last season, and they finished the season with a 10-7 overall record. In the NFC Wild Card round, they lost to the Lions 24-23. Within the NFC-West, the Rams went 5-1, but they finished 2nd to the Seahawks. Their road and home records were identical at 5-5 and 5-3. Last year’s Rams squad was 8-5 vs. above .500 teams and 4-0 against below .500 teams.

Their ATS record was 11-6-1, and they were 8-5-1 vs. above .500 teams. The Rams’ over/under record was 9-9, with their games averaging 46 points per game. Los Angeles went 2-7 as the underdog and 8-1 as the favorite.

The Rams’ offense was 5th in the league last season, averaging 23.7 points per game. They were also 5th in the league in terms of power ranking. Los Angeles averaged 362.9 yards per game, ranking 7th in the league, and 5.7 yards per play, also 7th in the league. They were 9th in the league in points per game, averaging 23.7.

On the passing end, the Rams were 6th in passing yards per attempt. They averaged 34.4 passing attempts per game, which was 13th in the league. Los Angeles finished 7th in passing yards per game, averaging 245.6 yards per game. They were also 8th in the league in third-down conversion percentage, converting 42% of their third downs.

For the Rams, their defense was 18th in the league, giving up 22.3 points per game. They were 22nd in the NFL in our power rankings. Looking at some of their advanced stats, they were 17th in both sacks and quarterback hits. Los Angeles allowed 337.7 yards per game, which was also 18th in the league.

One area they did perform well in was defending the run, as they ranked 7th in rushing yards per attempt. In the passing game, they gave up 232.4 passing yards per game (21st). Opponents found success on the ground against them, as they had the 10th fewest rushing attempts in the league.

Are The Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

The Rams went 5-3-1 against the spread as underdogs last season, while they were 6-3 ATS as favorites. Overall, their ATS record was 11-6-1. In the 2023 regular season, the Rams went 10-7, placing 2nd in the NFC West and earning a playoff spot as the 6th seed in the NFC. They excelled within their division with a 5-1 record but struggled in non-conference games, going 2-3. The Rams’ season ended with a disappointing 24-23 loss to the Lions in the NFC Wild Card round.

Against teams with winning records, the Rams went 6-8, and they were a perfect 4-0 against teams with losing records. Their playoff defeat vs. the Lions came after they finished the regular season with a 5-1 run in their last six games. Los Angeles was favored in 10 of their 17 wins last season, going 8-1, but they struggled as underdogs, going 2-7. The Rams’ over/under record was 9-9, with their games averaging a combined 46 points per game.

The Rams’ offense was the 5th best in the league last season, averaging 23.7 points per game, which was 9th in the NFL. They were also 7th in both yards per game (362.9) and yards per play (5.7). Their passing game was a key strength, ranking 6th in passing yards per attempt and 7th in passing yards per game.

Los Angeles averaged 34.4 passing attempts per game, which was 13th in the league, and 27.4 rushing attempts per game, also 13th. They finished 8th in third down conversion percentage, converting 42% of their third down chances.

Los Angeles’ defense forced 15 turnovers last season and finished with a turnover differential ranking of 11th. In terms of yards allowed, they were 22nd, giving up 337.7 yards per game. The Rams allowed 22.3 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. They also struggled on the road, giving up 23.8 points per game.

The Rams were below average in generating quarterback pressure, as they were 17th in both sacks and quarterback hits. However, they did defend the run well, giving up 4.2 yards per attempt (7th). In the passing game, opponents averaged 232.4 passing yards per game against the Rams (21st).