New York Jets vs San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/9/24
ABC is set to televise the week one non-conference matchup between the Jets and 49ers, which is set for 8:15 ET. The 49ers are the favorite with a money line of -195, and the Jets’ money line odds are +163. The game will be played at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, and the 49ers are -3.5 point favorites, with the over/under line at 42.5 points.
NEW YORK JETS VS SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Jets +3.5
This game will be played at Levi’s Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, September 9th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK JETS:
- We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 22 to 13
- Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 42.5 points
Will The Jets Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
The Jets finished the 2023 season with a 7-10 record, placing 3rd in the AFC East. They were 4-4 against below .500 teams and 3-6 against above .500 teams. New York’s ATS record was 6-10-1, and they were 2-4 ATS on the road and 4-5 ATS at home. When playing as the underdog, the Jets went 5-9 ATS, and they were 1-0 ATS as the home favorite.
Their over/under record was 7-10, and the average over/under line in their games was 37.5, with their games averaging 36.6 combined points. Against the spread, the Jets were 4-4 as home underdogs and 0-1-1 as road underdogs.
The Jets’ running game ranked 22nd in rushing yards per game, averaging 96.9 yards. However, their overall offensive performance was the worst in the league, ranking 32nd in the power rankings. They struggled to move the ball, averaging only 268.6 yards per game, which was 31st in the league. This also translated to their inability to put points on the board, averaging only 15.8 points per game, which was 29th in the NFL.
On third downs, the Jets converted only 26% of their attempts, and they struggled to sustain drives, finishing 28th in scoring on the road and 28th at home. In the passing game, the Jets were 30th in yards, averaging 171.7 yards per game, and they were also 30th in passing attempts.
Despite finishing 10th in points allowed, the Jets’ defense was one of the best in the league last season, ranking 3rd in our power rankings. They were tough against the pass, giving up just 168.3 yards per game, the best in the NFL. Overall, they allowed only 292.3 yards per game, the 2nd best figure in the league.
New York’s defense also excelled in getting to the quarterback, finishing 3rd in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks. They forced 27 takeaways, the 5th best figure in the league, and allowed the 3rd fewest passing touchdowns. In the running game, the Jets gave up the 6th fewest rushing touchdowns.
Are The 49ers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
The Jets’ ATS record was 6-10-1 last year, and they were 0-2-1 ATS as the favorite while going 6-8 ATS as the underdog. New York wrapped up the 2023 season with a 7-10 overall record, putting them 3rd in the AFC East and 13th in the AFC. Within the division, they went 4-4, and they were 3-2 in non-conference games. The Jets’ over/under record was 7-10, and their games averaged 36.6 points per game.
When favored, the Jets went 2-1 straight-up. As underdogs, they went 5-9. Their ATS record was 4-5 at home and 2-5-1 on the road. They were 3-6 against teams with winning records and 4-4 against teams with losing records.
At just 26%, the Jets’ offense was one of the worst in the league on third down last season, ranking 28th. They were also the lowest-scoring offense in the NFL, averaging only 15.8 points per game. New York managed just 268.6 yards per game, ranking 31st, and averaged 4.3 yards per play, also placing them 31st in the league.
The Jets’ running game ranked 22nd in yards, averaging 96.9 yards per game. In the passing game, they were 30th in yards, averaging 171.7 yards per game. New York also struggled in the red zone, ranking 21st in red zone attempts and converting on only 62.2% of their red zone opportunities.
Despite finishing 10th in points allowed, the Jets’ defense was one of the toughest to move the ball against last season, giving up just 292.3 yards per game, the 2nd best figure in the league. They were the top-ranked unit against the pass, allowing only 168.3 passing yards per game. New York also excelled in getting to the quarterback, finishing 3rd in tackles for loss and 7th in sacks.
Overall, the Jets were the 3rd best defense in the league last season. They were also tough in the secondary, allowing the 3rd lowest passer rating and holding quarterbacks to a 60% completion percentage, which was 3rd best in the league.