Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24
At 12:40 PM ET, the Brewers and Reds square off in an NL Central matchup. This one is being played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, and the Reds are the slight underdog on the money line (+109). The money line odds have the Brewers at -130, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak.
The over/under line is 9.5 runs, and the forecast for Friday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Nick Martinez is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Colin Rea for the Brewers. Milwaukee is currently in 1st place in the NL Central, while the Reds are 4th.
CINCINNATI REDS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +109
This game will be played at Great American Ball Park at 12:40 ET on Friday, August 30th.
HOW TO BET THE BREWERS VS REDS:
- We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the under
Brewers Records & Stats
The Brewers’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Giants, closing out their series with a 6-0 win. After going just 2/8 with runners in scoring position in the 2nd inning, the Brewers scored two runs. Milwaukee added another two runs in the 4th inning and closed things out with another two runs in the 6th.
Aaron Civale put together a good start for the Brewers, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Giants batters. Garrett Mitchell was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and scoring three runs.
Milwaukee heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Reds having won two straight games, and they lead the NL Central by 9.5 games over the Cubs. This season, the Brewers are 77-56 overall, and they are 26-16 in the division.
At home, the Brewers have gone 40-25 this season, and they are above .500 on the road, coming in with a mark of 37-31. So far, they have been favored in 75 of their games, going 44-31 as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, they are 33-25 this season.
The Brewers have been a solid run line bet this season, going 70-63 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 38-30, and have covered the run line in each of their last two games. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog this season, going 39-19. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it drops to -2.8 in their losses.
The Milwaukee Brewers are on the road against the Cincinnati Reds today. The over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs, which is higher than their combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season. The Brewers have gone over the total in 70 of their 125 games this season, and their average over/under line for the season is set at 8 runs per game.
Right-hander Colin Rea is getting the start for the Brewers today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 12-4 with a 3.61 ERA. Rea’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 25 appearances, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 7.16 strikeouts per nine innings. Rea’s last outing came on August 24th, where he picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Coming into today’s game, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been a very good offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, and are also 7th in the league in runs scored on the road. Overall, they are batting .253 as a team (5th) and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage. Milwaukee also comes into the game with the league’s 2nd best walk rate.
Willy Adames has been a key part of the Brewers’ offense this season, as his 24 home runs are the most on the team and 8th most in the league. He is also 8th in the league with 88 RBIs. Adames is also on a 6-game hitting streak and is batting .250 over his last nine games. William Contreras is also having a strong season at the plate, with a batting average of .285 and 18 homers.
Reds Records & Stats
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 10-9 win. After allowing two runs to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Reds responded with a big 6-run inning. Cincinnati went on to add another 2 runs in the 3rd before the Athletics tied things up with a 3-run 4th.
Cincinnati started Emilio Pagan, and he picked up the win, going three innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out four. The Reds’s offense was carried by Tyler Stephenson, who went 3/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
Cincinnati will host the Brewers with an overall record of 64-70, which has them 4th in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 13.5 games and are 13.5 games behind in the wild card race as well. The Reds are just below .500 in the division at 19-20.
The Reds have an even 32-36 record at home this season compared to 32-34 on the road. So far, they have gone 33-32 as the favorite and 31-38 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 16-23-3, and they have dropped two straight series.
The Reds have been a solid run line bet this season, going 70-64 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 41-25 against the run line. They are 29-39 at home vs. the run line, where they have a run differential of -0.2 runs per game. They have been a good bet as the underdog, going 43-26 vs. the run line in those games.
The Cincinnati Reds are at home today against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Reds’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 63-65. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 20-10. The over has hit in two straight games for Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 6-6 with a 3.62 ERA. Martinez’s WHIP for the season is 1.11, and he has made two quality starts. In his 36 appearances, he has a total of 11 home runs allowed. Looking back at his last outing, Martinez finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in three innings of work vs. the Pirates. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.95 compared to 3.70 at home.
Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent run producer for the Reds this season, as he is batting .262 with 22 homers and 60 RBIs. His 22 homers are 15th in the league and is the top mark on the team. Spencer Steer is also among the league leaders in homers, as he has gone deep 19 times this season, which is 3rd on the team. Steer is also 11th in the league in RBIs, with 83.
Over his last six games, Tyler Stephenson has gone 11/22, with two homers and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .262. Stephenson also has the longest active hitting streak for the Reds at 13 games. Will Benson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 4/11 with two homers in his last five games.