Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/29/24
Thursday’s matchup between the Braves and Phillies gets started at 6:40 PM ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. The Phillies are the slight favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -149 compared to the Braves at +125. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs.
Charlie Morton will start for the Braves, and he is facing off against Cristopher Sanchez. Atlanta is currently on a three-game winning streak, and they are 2nd in the NL East with a record of 73-60. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 78-55.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -149
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Thursday, August 29th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Braves Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -141 on the money line. It was a big 1st inning for the Braves, as they got on the board with a run and added three more in the 3rd.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Jorge Soler, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
With an overall record of 73-60, the Braves trail the Phillies by five games for the NL East lead. The Braves will be on the road today to take on the Phillies, and they have won three straight games, which includes closing out their series vs. the Twins with a win. So far, they are 22-18 in divisional games.
As the road team, the Braves have gone 37-32 this season compared to 36-28 at home. Atlanta has really excelled as the favorite this season, going 62-47. They have also been good in series, as they are 23-15-5 overall and have won five straight series.
When betting the run line, the Braves have been a better play on the road this season, going 36-33. Their average run differential on the road is +1.0, and they have covered the run line in five straight road games. As the underdog, they are 14-10 against the run line.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.2 runs per game. The Braves have played 44 games this season with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 12-22. Overall, the over/under record for the Braves this season is 49-79.
Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 4.24. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Morton finished with a no-decision against the Nationals, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 37 home runs are 4th in the league and the best mark on the Braves. Ozuna is also batting .309 for the season and comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been a big power threat for the Braves, as his 23 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league, but he is batting just .231 this season.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 11th best team batting average in the league.
Phillies Records & Stats
The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 10-0 loss. Philadelphia was the slight underdog at +105 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Astros scored five times in the 4th.
Offensively, the Phillies only had three fewer hits than the Astros but didn’t score a run. All three of their hits were singles, and the Phillies didn’t have a baserunner reach third base until the 7th inning. Taijuan Walker took the loss, going six innings and giving up six earned runs on 13 hits.
Philadelphia is 78-55 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. Currently, they hold a five-game lead over the Braves for the division lead. The Phillies have gone 20-14 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 44-24 this season, and they have gone 34-31 on the road.
The Phillies are on a four-game winning streak as the favorite, and they are 66-40 when favored this year. As the underdog, Philadelphia has gone 12-15. Their overall series record is 23-15-6, and they have won two straight series.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.7 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 65-68, with a run line record of 32-36 at home and 33-32 on the road. They have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite and are 51-55 overall in that category. As the underdog, they are 14-13 on the run line.
Philadelphia’s over/under record is 61-65 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 11-13, and 31.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs. Overall, the average over/under line for Phillies games this season has been set at 8 runs per game.
Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.51 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is 1.27, and opponents are batting .257 off him this year. In his 25 starts, Sánchez has turned in 14 quality starts, along with two complete games and one shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Over the past seven games, J.T. Realmuto has been on fire for the Phillies, going 10/25 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .269, and he is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Nick Castellanos has also hit two homers in his last nine games, but he is batting just .229 during that stretch.
Philadelphia’s offense has been strong this season, as they are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258 and have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. Alec Bohm has been the team’s top run producer so far, as he is 7th in the league with 89 RBIs.