Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/29/24

The forecast looks good for Thursday’s Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup, as the temperature will be around 70 degrees with scattered clouds in Boston. The game will be played at Fenway Park, and the Red Sox are favored on the money line (-140).

Toronto will be looking to end a two-game losing streak, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 65-70. Boston has won two in a row, and their overall record is 69-64. Kutter Crawford is starting for the Red Sox, and the Blue Jays are going with Bowden Francis. NESN is carrying this game on TV.

BOSTON RED SOX VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -140

This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Thursday, August 29th.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS RED SOX:

• We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Blue Jays to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston cruised to a 3-0 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 8th inning, scoring two of their three runs and picking up six of their seven hits. As for the Blue Jays, they only mustered two hits in the game and didn’t score a run after the 4th inning.

Brayan Bello started for the Red Sox and picked up the win, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but did issue one walk. On the other side, Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, giving up just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of work.

Tyler O’Neill was the only player in the game to hit a home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs. Masataka Yoshida also had a three-hit game for Boston.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Red Sox, and they are 65-70 overall, putting them 5th in the AL East. The Blue Jays trail the Yankees by 13.5 games in the AL East and are 2 games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 19-26 against other AL East teams.

The Blue Jays have dropped two straight games, and they are 24-43 as the underdog this year. At home, Toronto is 34-33 compared to 31-37 on the road. Toronto’s overall series record is 15-21-5, and they are 6-4 across their last 10 games.

When the Blue Jays are on the road, they are a good bet against the run line, as they are 43-25 on the run line. They have a negative run differential both at home and on the road, but they are covering the run line at a better rate away from Toronto.

The Blue Jays are on the road today to face the Red Sox, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. Toronto’s games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 72-60. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Blue Jays are 4-10-2, and only 8.1% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their games have gone under the line in 80.0% of their games this season.

Bowden Francis has been pitching well for the Blue Jays, as he has won his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Angels on August 24th and picked up the win, going 8 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Francis is 7-3 with a 4.02 ERA. Opponents are batting .215 off the right-hander this season. Francis has made 12 starts on the road, going 4-3 with a 4.24 ERA. At home, his ERA is 5.47.

For the Blue Jays to improve on their 4.2 runs per game average, they will need George Springer to pick things up at the plate. For the season, Springer is batting just .219, and over his last nine games, he has gone 7/36 with four homers. However, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire of late, hitting .406 over his last nine games, with two homers. Guerrero Jr. comes into the game with a team-high 27 homers and 87 RBIs, which is 9th in the league.

Overall, the Blue Jays are batting a collective .239, which is 13th in the league, and they have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category. So far, they have been a below-average home run hitting team, and their collective isolated power of .153 is also below the league average.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 69-64 overall and trails the Yankees by 8.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and have gone 18-17 in AL East matchups. The Red Sox have won two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Red Sox are 31-37 this year compared to 38-27 on the road. As the home favorite, Boston is 22-25 this year and 36-30 as the favorite overall. Their overall series record is 21-15-5, and they are leading the Blue Jays 2-1 in this series.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Boston Red Sox, it’s been a mixed bag this season. They’re just 62-71 against the run line overall, but they’ve been much better on the road, going 38-27. They’ve covered the run line in two straight games overall and as the underdog, they’re 39-28 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.9, but it’s -4.0 in losing games.

The Boston Red Sox are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average in Red Sox games this season is 9.7, and their over/under record is 69-57. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 8-5-3. Overall, 30.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up two earned runs on three hits in five innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Crawford has given up at least two home runs in three of them. His record for the season is 8-11, and he has an ERA of 4.19. Opposing batters are hitting .216 off Crawford this season. Overall, he has made 27 appearances and 11 of them have been quality starts.

So far this season, the Red Sox have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game (6th) and batting a collective .259 (3rd). They have also been one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, as their 168 homers is the 6th best mark in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is that they have the league’s best team BABIP at .32.

Coming into the game, Jarren Duran is one of the league’s hottest hitters, as he has gone 13/36 (.361) in his last 10 games, including four homers. For the season, he is batting .295 with 20 homers, which is 3rd on the team. Rafael Devers is leading the Red Sox with 28 homers and 80 RBIs, while batting .290.