Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24

The Astros and Phillies will face off in an interleague matchup at 4:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Phillies are currently on a four-game winning streak and are 78-54 overall, while the Astros have lost two straight and are 70-62.

Wednesday’s money line odds have the Phillies at -111, while the Astros are the slight favorite at -108. The over/under line is at 9.5 runs, and this game will be televised on NSPPH. Spencer Arrighetti is starting for the Astros, and he is facing off against Taijuan Walker for the Phillies.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -111

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.

HOW TO BET THE ASTROS VS PHILLIES:

• We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Thanks to a four-run 3rd inning for the Phillies’ offense, they cruised to a 5-0 win over the Astros in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -140 on the money line.

Aaron Nola pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Justin Verlander had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.

Philadelphia got to Verlander early, as he gave up four runs in the 1st inning and was pulled after just five innings of work. On the other side, Nola didn’t give up a run until the 7th inning and finished the game strong.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros are on the road today, and they have dropped two straight games overall. Currently, they are 70-62 and lead the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners. So far, they have gone 21-18 in divisional games.

As the road team, the Astros are 35-33 this season compared to 35-29 at home. This year, they have gone 52-43 as the favorite and 18-19 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 23-17-2, and they are coming into today’s game with a mark of 4-6 over their last 10 games.

When the Astros are on the road, they are 38-30 against the run line, but they have failed to cover in their last game. They are 25-12 against the run line when they are the underdog, and their average run margin in those games is 0.5 runs per game.

The Houston Astros are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Astros games this season is 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 52-76. The average over/under line for Astros games is 9 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 2-4. So far this season, 87.1% of their games have had over/under lines set below 9.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Houston is sending right-hander Spencer Arrighetti to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Arrighetti has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 6-11. His ERA is 4.94, along with a WHIP of 1.41. In his 23 starts, Arrighetti has turned in seven quality starts, and opponents are batting .240 this season. In his last outing, he pitched well, going six innings and not allowing a run. He picked up the win in that start. Before that, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.

Yordan Alvarez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the Astros and 11th in the MLB. He is also batting .305, which is the second-best mark on the team. Yainer Diaz has been a great surprise for the Astros this season, as he is hitting .297 with 16 homers and 72 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team.

Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman have also been key contributors for the Astros this season, with Altuve batting .297 and Bregman at .259. However, Bregman has struggled of late, going 7/31 in his last seven games. Altuve has also gone deep twice in his last six games.

Phillies Records & Stats

Philadelphia is currently 78-54 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL East. They hold a six-game lead over the Braves and have won four straight games, including the first two games of this series vs. the Astros. So far, they have gone 20-14 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Phillies are 44-23 this season and 34-31 on the road. They have been good as the favorite this year, going 66-40, and they are 12-14 as the underdog. Philadelphia has won two straight at home, and they are 22-16-6 in series this year.

Philadelphia has been a solid run line team this season, going 65-67. They have been slightly better at home, going 32-35. The Phillies have been a better run line team on the road, going 33-32. They have been a slight favorite in most games, going 51-55. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.6.

Philadelphia Phillies games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 61-65. The Phillies have played in 118 games with over/under lines, and only 6.1% of those games have had lines set at 9.5 runs. Their games have gone over the line 7 times and under 7 times when the line is set at 9.5 runs. The Phillies have had an under streak of 2 games.

Taijuan Walker will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Phillies today. In his most recent start, which came on August 23rd, Walker took the loss and gave up six earned runs in just three innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Walker has allowed at least three earned runs in each outing. Walker’s ERA for the season is 6.26, along with a record of 3-5. Out of his 13 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts and is averaging 7.38 strikeouts per nine innings.

Philadelphia comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .259, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also have the 5th best on-base percentage in the league and have been good at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Over the past five games, Nick Castellanos and J.T. Realmuto have been swinging the bat well, with Castellanos going 7/21 and Realmuto going 8/17. Castellanos also comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are 1-2 on the team in homers, and Alec Bohm leads the team with 89 RBIs.