Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 8/28/24
From T-Mobile Park in Seattle, we have the Rays and Mariners facing off in an AL matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:10 PM ET. The money line odds have the Mariners at -175, while the Rays are the slight underdog at +145. The over/under line is at 7 runs.
RSNW will be televising this matchup, and the Mariners are 2nd in the AL West, while the Rays are 4th in the AL East. Luis Castillo is starting for the Mariners, and the Rays are going with Tyler Alexander.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Moneyline +145
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, August 28th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay picked up a 3-2 win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Rays offense only had two more hits than the Mariners and struck out 14 times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +140 on the money line.
Seattle wasted a good outing from Logan Gilbert, as he gave up just four hits and no earned runs in six innings of work for the Mariners. JT Chargois took the loss.
Jeffrey Springs only went five innings for the Rays but didn’t give up a hit or an earned run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but didn’t factor into the decision. Edwin Uceta got the win out of the bullpen, and Manuel Rodriguez got the save.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is currently at .500 with a record of 66-66, and they trail the Yankees by 11.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 17-23 against other teams in the AL East. The Rays will be looking to pick up a win today, as they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
The Rays have been good at home this year, putting together a record of 34-34. On the road, they are also .500 at 32-32. As the underdog, Tampa Bay is 33-37 this year and 33-29 when favored. They have an overall series record of 21-16-5 this season.
Despite being under .500 overall, the Rays have been a profitable run line bet this season, going 66-66. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 37-27 vs. the run line. They are 43-27 as underdogs, but just 23-39 as favorites.
The Rays are on the road today against the Mariners, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.1 runs, and their over/under record is 58-68. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 7 runs, their record is 2-2-4. In 93.2% of their games this season, the over/under line has been set higher than 7 runs, and their current under streak is at 3 games.
Tyler Alexander is getting the start for the Rays today and comes into the game with a record of 5-3 and ERA of 5.22. So far this season, he has made seven starts and 17 total appearances. Alexander’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30, and opponents are batting .261 this year. In his last outing, he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs, and one homer. Alexander didn’t factor into the decision in that outing. Looking back further, he has finished with a no-decision in three straight appearances. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.67 strikeouts and just 2.22 walks.
Yandy Diaz has been one of the few bright spots for the Rays offense this season, as he is batting .275 for the season and is on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last nine games, Diaz is batting .312 with one homer. Diaz’s 57 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Christopher Morel is leading the team with 21 homers, but he is batting just .193 for the season.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. Overall, they are 22nd in OPS and 27th in slugging percentage.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle is 67-66 overall this season, and they are 3.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners are 19-13 against other teams in the AL West. At home, the Mariners are 40-28 this season and 27-38 on the road.
So far, the Mariners have been the favorite in 88 of their games, and they are 48-40 in those games. As the underdog, Seattle has gone 19-26 this year. The Mariners’ overall series record is 18-22-2, and they are currently tied in their series vs. the Rays.
Seattle has been a good team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 55-78 overall. They have been a little better at home, going 28-40. The Mariners have an average run differential of 0.1 runs per game, and their average run differential in winning games is 3.4 runs per game.
The Seattle Mariners are hosting the Tampa Bay Rays today, and the over/under line is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Mariners games this season is 7.7 runs, and their over/under record is 58-68. When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, their record is 12-18-5. Overall, 66.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Seattle is sending Luis Castillo to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Giants. In that start, he went 6 innings and gave up 5 earned runs, coming away with a no-decision. Looking back over his last three outings, Castillo has finished with a no-decision, win, and loss. His ERA for the season is 3.66, along with a record of 10-12. Opponents are batting .233 off Castillo this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.19 strikeouts and just 2.42 walks.
Seattle’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the MLB. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of striking out, averaging 10 Ks per game. The Mariners have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .215, which is the worst mark in the league.
Cal Raleigh comes into the game as the league’s leader in RBIs, with 80, and he also has a team-high 27 home runs. However, he is batting just .212 for the season. Julio Rodriguez is hitting .251 and has 11 homers, while Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but is batting just .213 for the year. Arozarena has gone deep just once in his last five games, but he does have four RBIs in that stretch.