Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24
From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have the Nationals and Braves facing off in an NL East matchup. The money line odds have the Braves at -274 compared to the Nationals at +222. First pitch is set for 7:20 PM ET, and MASN will be televising this one.
Washington comes in with a record of 58-70 and they have won two straight. Atlanta is 68-59 overall and Chris Sale will start for them. The Nationals are starting MacKenzie Gore.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +222
This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Friday, August 23rd.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Nationals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rockies, the Nationals closed out the series with an 8-3 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -153. Offensively, the Nationals scored their eight runs on json11 hits and only hit one home run.
Patrick Corbin put together a good start for the Nationals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Washington’s offense was carried by Juan Yepez, who went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Washington is 58-70 overall and is 4th in the NL East, 16.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals are 17-18 in divisional games this year and have won two straight games overall. Their two most recent wins came in the final two games of their series vs. the Rockies.
At home, the Nationals are 30-33 this season and have gone 28-37 on the road. So far, they have really struggled as the underdog, going 46-59. As for their record as the favorite, the Nationals are 12-11 this year. Washington’s overall series record is 16-21-3 heading into today’s game, which is on the road vs. the Braves.
When betting the Nationals on the run line, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog. Washington is 61-44 vs. the run line as the underdog, compared to just 11-12 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 72-56, and their average run differential is -0.5 runs per game.
The Nationals have played in 104 games this season with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 14 of those contests. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 64-59.
Left-hander MacKenzie Gore gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves on the road. This year, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 7-11 with an ERA of 4.66. Gore’s WHIP for the season is 1.58, and opponents are batting .272 off him this year. In his 25 appearances, Gore has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Gore took the loss, giving up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, with an ERA of 5.25 compared to 5.16 on the road.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league this season and is also near the bottom of the league in terms of isolated power. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is also the same number of runs they are averaging both at home and on the road.
Luis Garcia Jr. has been the Nationals’ top hitter this season, batting .296 with a team-leading 63 RBIs. He is also 2nd on the team with 15 homers. CJ Abrams has also been a big power threat this season, leading the team with 18 homers. Over his last eight games, Keibert Ruiz has gone 9/31 with three homers and seven RBIs.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 3-2 win. After allowing one run to the Phillies in the top of the first, the Braves responded with a run of their own. Atlanta went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Spencer Schwellenbach put together a good start for the Braves, going 6 2/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on three hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out nine Phillies batters. Adam Duvall was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and a run scored. The Braves also had a big 2nd inning, with Duvall driving in two runs and going deep.
With an overall record of 68-59, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta will host the Nationals today with an overall division record of 20-17. The Braves took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Braves are 34-27 this season and have gone 34-32 on the road. Heading into today’s game, the Braves have won three straight games as the favorite. As the favorite, the Braves are 58-46 and 10-13 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 22-14-5, and they have won three straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
The Braves are 58-69 against the run line this season, including a 25-36 mark at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, but that number drops to -0.1 at home. They are 33-33 against the run line on the road, where their average run margin is +0.9 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 45-59 against the run line, while they are 13-10 as the underdog.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Atlanta Braves’ game against the Washington Nationals is lower than their season average of 8.2 runs per game. The Braves have played to the under in 47 of their 75 games this season when the line has been set at 7.5 runs. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game this season, with 75.6% of their games having higher lines than today’s total.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Nationals and comes in with a record of 14-3 and ERA of 2.62. So far, he has made 23 starts and 13 of them have been quality starts. Sale’s ERA at home is 3.44, and he is 8-0 at home this season. In his last outing, he gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings of work and got the win. Before that, he had three straight no-decisions. Sale has allowed a total of eight home runs this season. His WHIP for the season is .99, and he leads the league in starter wins.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 15/38 in his last 10 games with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .308 with 37 homers (3rd in the MLB) and 94 RBIs (4th in the league). Ozuna is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 64 RBIs, but he is batting just .227 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they have the league’s 4th best home run total and are the 6th best team in terms of isolated power.