Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 8/23/24

The Cubs and Marlins are set to face off in an NL matchup at 7:10 PM ET at loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins are on a three-game losing streak and are 46-81 this season, while the Cubs are 63-65 and 3rd in the NL Central.

Friday’s money line odds have the Cubs favored at -125, while the Marlins are sitting at +106. The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and BSFL will be televising this one.

CHICAGO CUBS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -125

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 7:10 ET on Friday, August 23rd.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Cubs Records & Stats

The Cubs’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Tigers, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing one run to the Tigers in the top of the first, the Cubs responded with four runs of their own. Chicago went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.

Starting for the Cubs was Justin Steele, who picked up the win while tossing seven innings of two-run ball. He also finished with 10 K’s and issued just one walk. The Cubs’s offense was carried by Miguel Amaya, who went 3/4 with a homer and five RBIs.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Marlins, the Cubs are 63-65 overall, which puts them 3rd in the NL Central. Currently, they trail the Brewers by 10.5 games. Chicago’s record in the division is 17-26 this season.

Chicago was able to take their most recent series, winning two games to one vs. the Tigers. Over the last 10 games, they are an even 5-5. This year, the Cubs have gone 36-29 at home compared to 27-36 on the road. As the favorite, Chicago is 31-31 and 32-34 as the underdog.

Chicago has been a good bet on the run line this season, with a 61-67 record. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 36-27. They have been a solid bet as the underdog, going 44-22 on the run line. The Cubs have an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game this season.

The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Miami Marlins. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Cubs’ games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 56-68. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 15-13. Overall, 28.1% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, and their current over streak is at two games.

Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 3-10 with a 6.35 ERA. Looking at his home/road splits, Hendricks is 2-5 on the road with a 7.68 ERA compared to 1-5 at home with a 5.78 ERA. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Hendricks has allowed 19 home runs this season.

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is a team that has been pretty consistent, as they are averaging 4.3 runs per game on the road and 4.1 runs per game at home. As a team, the Cubs are batting just .234, which is 20th in the league, and their team on-base percentage is also below average.

Chicago’s top power hitter this season has been Ian Happ, who has 22 homers, which is 14th in the league. Happ’s 69 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he has gone 9/36 in his last 10 games with three homers. Nico Hoerner is batting .254 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 37 RBIs.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 10-8 loss to Arizona, Jake Burger went deep, going 1/3, and Cristian Pache was 1/4 with a homer. The Marlins scored four runs in the 4th inning but gave up the lead right away as the Diamondbacks scored four times in the top of the 4th.

Rodder Munoz got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Offensively, the Marlins had 14 hits but only scored eight runs. David Hensley was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with two runs scored.

Miami is 46-81 overall, putting them 5th in the NL East, 28 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Marlins are 13-26 in divisional matchups this year. They will take on the Cubs at home today, having lost three straight games, and they were swept in their most recent series vs. the Diamondbacks.

At home, the Marlins are 24-42 this year compared to a 22-39 mark on the road. So far, the Marlins have really struggled as the favorite, going just 4-13. As the underdog, Miami is 42-68 this year. Miami’s overall series record is 10-25-6, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Marlins have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 58-69 overall. They have been a bit better on the road, going 30-31, but have struggled at home, going 28-38. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 56-54, but have really struggled as a favorite, going just 2-15. Their average run differential for the season is -1.4 runs per game.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 70-54 overall, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 24-20. In total, 21 of their games have had lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 16.5% of their games.

Right-hander Max Meyer gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Cubs at home. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 3-3 with a 5.58 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Meyer took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work to the Mets. Before that, he had picked up the win and had a quality start against the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Meyer has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .239, and their on-base percentage of .294 is also near the bottom of the league. Miami’s team OPS of .662 is 25th in the MLB.

Jake Burger and Otto Lopez have been two of the Marlins’ hottest hitters, with Burger going 12/39 in his last 10 games with five homers, and Lopez is also 13/39 in this stretch. Lopez is also on a six-game hitting streak. For the season, Burger leads the Marlins with 57 RBIs and is batting .249.